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Carlisle vs Tranmere

Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria7 April 2023 at 15:00
20
Referee: T. Kirk

Match Events

Carlisle
Tranmere
Kick Off
K. Dennis

assist: O. Patrick

3′
K. Dennis

assist: J. Armer

39′
Half Time
C. GuyJ. Devitt
46′
46′
R. HughesJ. Mumbongo
54′
H. SaundersL. Chalmers
61′Kane Hemmings
65′
J. HawkesL. O'Connor
Alfie McCalmont68′
O. PatrickJ. Garner
74′
K. DennisR. Edmondson
74′
79′
C. MerrieF. Hoti
79′
K. HemmingsS. Taylor
J. EllisJ. Gibson
82′
Joe Garner84′
A. McCalmontJ. Robinson
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
15Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls10
7Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
37%Ball Possession63%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
328Total passes570
228Passes accurate449
70%Passes %79%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Carlisle is 5.90, compared to 6.83 for Tranmere. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Carlisle's highest-rated starter is J. Ellis (5.90), while Tranmere's best-rated player is J. Turnbull (6.94).

Defensive Solidity

Carlisle deploy 5 defenders rated 5.90 on average, against Tranmere's 4-man backline averaging 6.83. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Carlisle field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Tranmere's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Carlisle start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Tranmere averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 72% for Carlisle and 67% for Tranmere. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Carlisle's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 6 for Tranmere. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Carlisle's starting XI is 22.0 (youngest: J. Ellis (22), oldest: J. Ellis (22)), while Tranmere average 27.7 (youngest: E. Bristow (24), oldest: J. Turnbull (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Carlisle's starters average 1 league appearances each, versus 17 for Tranmere. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Carlisle5-3-24-3-1-2Tranmere
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Holý20Ellis26Barclay6Hunting.22Mellish3Armer4Moxon8Guy35McCalmo.10Patrick14Dennis23Hewelt2Dacres-.5Davies14Turnbull3Bristow24Hendry6Merrie17Hughes11Hawkes26Saunders10Hemmings

Substitutes

Coach: P. Simpson

Substitutes

Coach: I. Dawes

CarlislePosition StrengthTranmere
5.90
Avg Rating
6.83
5.90Defender (5 v 4)6.83
0G 0A0G 2A
Carlisle5-3-2
1GoalkeeperT. Holý
20DefenderJ. Ellis5.9
26DefenderB. Barclay
6DefenderP. Huntington
22DefenderJ. Mellish
3DefenderJ. Armer
4MidfielderO. Moxon
8MidfielderC. Guy
35MidfielderA. McCalmont
10ForwardO. Patrick
14ForwardK. Dennis
Tranmere4-3-1-2
23GoalkeeperM. Hewelt
2DefenderJ. Dacres-Cogley
5DefenderT. Davies
14DefenderJ. Turnbull6.91A
3DefenderE. Bristow6.71A
24MidfielderR. Hendry
6MidfielderC. Merrie
17MidfielderR. Hughes
11MidfielderJ. Hawkes
26ForwardH. Saunders
10ForwardK. Hemmings

Match Summary

Carlisle defeated Tranmere 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2022. Goals were scored by K. Dennis 3′, K. Dennis 39′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Carlisle had 37% possession while Tranmere held 63%. Carlisle had 15 shots (8 on target) compared to 8 (1 on target) for Tranmere. Carlisle made 5 substitutions, Tranmere made 5.

Rivalry since 2011

Carlisle vs Tranmere Head to Head Results

18 stretnutí
Carlisle
7
wins
Drawn
3
Tranmere
8
wins
Total goals
40 · 2.2/match
Both scored
6/18 · 33%
Over 2.5
8/18 · 44%

Recent Form

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Tranmere

DLWLDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Tranmere dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Carlisle2wins
1draws10 meetings
Tranmere7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Tranmere.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.8%Draw 29.0%Away 19.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.304.80
Max1.783.535.50
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite:Carlisle · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.5%27.3%18.2%
Public market55.3%27.3%17.4%

Carlisle vs Tranmere — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Carlisle
Result vs. Market: Carlisle (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:20Tranmere
15Shots8
8Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
04/01/25Tranmere1–0Carlisle2.12/3.37/3.35
31/08/24Carlisle1–2Tranmere2.12/3.36/3.50
07/04/23Carlisle2–0Tranmere1.76/3.44/5.20
29/10/22Tranmere0–2Carlisle2.12/3.34/3.54
02/04/22Tranmere2–2Carlisle1.85/3.43/4.43
16/10/21Carlisle0–1Tranmere2.54/3.18/2.81
23/02/21Carlisle2–3Tranmere2.12/3.23/3.64
24/11/20Tranmere1–0Carlisle3.01/3.21/2.44
30/03/19Tranmere3–0Carlisle2.13/3.52/3.39
15/09/18Carlisle0–2Tranmere2.73/3.56/2.55

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Tranmere

W 124D 95L 149
Over 2.542
Goals scored427

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026