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Notts County vs Wrexham

Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire28 October 2023 at 15:00
02
Referee: M. Edwards

Match Events

Notts County
Wrexham
Kick Off
6′James Jones
Daniel Crowley28′
Jodi Jones37′
37′Paul Mullin
43′James McClean
Half Time
A. NemaneS. Austin
67′
70′
S. DalbyO. Palmer
73′
E. Lee

assist: A. Cannon

76′
O. Palmer

assist: P. Mullin

M. PalmerW. Randall-Hurren
77′
87′
A. CannonL. Young
90+2′
P. MullinS. Fletcher
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal8
9Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots15
1Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox5
6Fouls15
10Corner Kicks7
0Offsides0
63%Ball Possession37%
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves6
514Total passes290
448Passes accurate212
87%Passes %73%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Notts County is 6.98, compared to 6.91 for Wrexham. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Notts County's highest-rated starter is J. Jones (7.05), while Wrexham's best-rated player is E. Lee (7.30).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Notts County have contributed 9 goals and 11 assists this season, led by J. Jones (8G). Wrexham's starters account for 1 goals and 3 assists, spearheaded by E. Lee (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Notts County deploy 3 defenders rated 6.84 on average, against Wrexham's 5-man backline averaging 6.78. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Notts County field 4 midfielders averaging 7.04, versus Wrexham's 3 rated 7.30. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Notts County start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Wrexham averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 80% for Notts County and 80% for Wrexham. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Notts County's starters have collected 11 yellow cards this season, compared to 4 for Wrexham. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Notts County's starting XI is 27.0 (youngest: L. Macari (23), oldest: M. Palmer (30)), while Wrexham average 29.4 (youngest: A. Okonkwo (24), oldest: J. McClean (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Notts County's starters average 34 league appearances each, versus 10 for Wrexham. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Notts County3-4-2-15-3-2Wrexham
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Slocombe28Macari15Baldwin4Cameron11Nemane6O'Brien18Palmer10Jones7Crowley17McGoldr.9Langsta.33Okonkwo19Mendy12Evans4Tozer22O'Connor23McClean30Jones20Cannon38Lee10Mullin18Dalby

Substitutes

Coach: L. Williams

Substitutes

Coach: P. Parkinson

Notts CountyPosition StrengthWrexham
6.98
Avg Rating
6.91
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.92
0G 0A0G 0A
6.84Defender (3 v 5)6.78
0G 2A0G 2A
7.04Midfielder (4 v 3)7.30
9G 9A1G 1A
Notts County3-4-2-1
1GoalkeeperS. Slocombe
28DefenderL. Macari6.82A
15DefenderA. Baldwin
4DefenderK. Cameron
11MidfielderA. Nemane
6MidfielderJ. O'Brien
18MidfielderM. Palmer7.01G5A
10MidfielderJ. Jones7.08G4A
7ForwardD. Crowley
17ForwardD. McGoldrick
9ForwardM. Langstaff
Wrexham5-3-2
33GoalkeeperA. Okonkwo6.9
19DefenderJ. Mendy6.9
12DefenderG. Evans6.7
4DefenderB. Tozer
22DefenderT. O'Connor
23DefenderJ. McClean6.82A
30MidfielderJ. Jones
20MidfielderA. Cannon
38MidfielderE. Lee7.31G1A
10ForwardP. Mullin
18ForwardS. Dalby

Match Summary

Wrexham defeated Notts County 2:0. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by E. Lee 73′, O. Palmer 76′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Notts County had 63% possession while Wrexham held 37%. Notts County had 16 shots (6 on target) compared to 15 (8 on target) for Wrexham. Notts County made 2 substitutions, Wrexham made 3.

Rivalry since 2019

Notts County vs Wrexham Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Notts County
4
wins
Drawn
2
Wrexham
3
wins
Total goals
20 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Form

Notts County

DWLLWL

Wrexham

DLWWLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Notts County3wins
0draws6 meetings
Wrexham3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Notts County.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 42.4%Draw 26.3%Away 36.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.303.752.62
Max2.403.842.81
Over 2.5: 67.6%Under 2.5: 38.5%
Market favourite:Notts County · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.3%25.2%34.5%
Public market41.1%25.2%33.7%

Notts County vs Wrexham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Wrexham
Result vs. Market: Notts County (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Notts CountyHalf-time:00Wrexham
16Shots15
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/10/07Notts County2–1Wrexham1.98/3.25/3.48
17/02/24Wrexham1–0Notts County1.98/3.80/3.47
28/10/23Notts County0–2Wrexham2.36/3.80/2.74
19/04/08Wrexham1–0Notts County2.33/3.32/2.64
18/11/06Notts County2–1Wrexham1.68/3.37/4.47
09/04/07Wrexham0–1Notts County2.25/3.32/2.73

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Away Record: Wrexham

W 64D 46L 74
Over 2.547
Goals scored231

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026