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Wrexham vs Notts County

STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam17 February 2024 at 15:00
10
Referee: C. Brook

Match Events

Wrexham
Notts County
Kick Off
S. Fletcher
20′
Half Time
48′David McGoldrick
Elliot Lee55′
55′Scott Robertson
P. MullinJ. Marriott
79′
S. FletcherO. Palmer
79′
R. BarnettJ. Mendy
79′
79′
K. CameronA. Chicksen
80′
J. WarnerL. Macari
82′
J. BostockC. Colkett
82′
S. RobertsonS. Austin
J. JonesL. Young
88′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal2
16Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots6
12Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls7
7Corner Kicks8
1Offsides1
26%Ball Possession74%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
205Total passes660
149Passes accurate605
73%Passes %92%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Wrexham is 6.86, compared to 7.00 for Notts County. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Wrexham's highest-rated starter is E. Lee (7.30), while Notts County's best-rated player is J. Jones (7.05).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Wrexham have contributed 4 goals and 7 assists this season, led by M. Cleworth (3G). Notts County's starters account for 10 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by J. Jones (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Wrexham deploy 5 defenders rated 6.73 on average, against Notts County's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Wrexham field 3 midfielders averaging 7.30, versus Notts County's 4 rated 7.00. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Wrexham start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Notts County averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 76% for Wrexham and 77% for Notts County. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Wrexham's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 11 for Notts County. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Wrexham's starting XI is 28.4 (youngest: M. Cleworth (23), oldest: J. McClean (36)), while Notts County average 26.0 (youngest: S. Robertson (24), oldest: J. Jones (28)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Wrexham's starters average 19 league appearances each, versus 29 for Notts County. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Wrexham5-3-24-3-1-2Notts County
GKDEFMIDFWD
33Okonkwo29Barnett32Cleworth15O'Conne.25Boyle23McClean30Jones20Cannon38Lee10Mullin26Fletcher31Ashby-H.11Nemane15Baldwin32Warner4Cameron10Jones16Bostock20Roberts.7Crowley17McGoldr.9Langsta.

Substitutes

Coach: P. Parkinson

Substitutes

Coach: S. Maynard

WrexhamPosition StrengthNotts County
6.86
Avg Rating
7.00
6.92Goalkeeper (1 v 1)
0G 0A0G 0A
6.73Defender (5 v 4)
3G 6A0G 0A
7.30Midfielder (3 v 4)7.00
1G 1A10G 5A
Wrexham5-3-2
33GoalkeeperA. Okonkwo6.9
29DefenderR. Barnett6.7
32DefenderM. Cleworth6.93G4A
15DefenderE. O'Connell6.6
25DefenderW. Boyle
23DefenderJ. McClean6.82A
30MidfielderJ. Jones
20MidfielderA. Cannon
38MidfielderE. Lee7.31G1A
10ForwardP. Mullin
26ForwardS. Fletcher
Notts County4-3-1-2
31GoalkeeperL. Ashby-Hammond
11DefenderA. Nemane
15DefenderA. Baldwin
32DefenderJ. Warner
4DefenderK. Cameron
10MidfielderJ. Jones7.08G4A
16MidfielderJ. Bostock
20MidfielderS. Robertson6.92G1A
7MidfielderD. Crowley
17ForwardD. McGoldrick
9ForwardM. Langstaff

Match Summary

Wrexham defeated Notts County 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by S. Fletcher 20′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Wrexham had 26% possession while Notts County held 74%. Wrexham had 16 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Notts County. Wrexham made 4 substitutions, Notts County made 4.

Rivalry since 2019

Wrexham vs Notts County Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Wrexham
3
wins
Drawn
2
Notts County
4
wins
Total goals
21 · 2.3/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
3/9 · 33%

Recent Form

Wrexham

DLWWLL

Notts County

DWLLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Wrexham3wins
0draws6 meetings
Notts County3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

33%

Games with 3+ goals

33%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Wrexham.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.5%Draw 26.3%Away 28.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.953.753.30
Max2.043.843.60
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:Wrexham · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.4%25.2%27.5%
Public market48.7%25.0%26.4%
Δ1.3%0.2%1.1%

Wrexham vs Notts County — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Wrexham
Result vs. Market: Wrexham (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WrexhamHalf-time:10Notts County
16Shots11
4Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/10/07Notts County2–1Wrexham1.98/3.25/3.48
17/02/24Wrexham1–0Notts County1.98/3.80/3.47
28/10/23Notts County0–2Wrexham2.36/3.80/2.74
19/04/08Wrexham1–0Notts County2.33/3.32/2.64
18/11/06Notts County2–1Wrexham1.68/3.37/4.47
09/04/07Wrexham0–1Notts County2.25/3.32/2.73

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Wrexham

W 64D 46L 74
Over 2.547
Goals scored231

Away Record: Notts County

W 211D 159L 228
Over 2.552
Goals scored789

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026