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Swindon Town vs Wrexham

26 December 2023 at 15:00The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
01
Referee: T. Reeves

Match Summary

Wrexham defeated Swindon Town 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2023.

Rivalry since 2023

Swindon Town vs Wrexham Head to Head Results· 1

Swindon Town and Wrexham have met 1 times — Swindon Town won 0, Wrexham won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2023. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 10.00 per match (5 for the home side, 5 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 match (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–5 in 2023.

Drawn
1
·
0
wins
Total goals
10 · 10.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

19/08/23League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 55 v 2023

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Swindon Town have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Wrexham show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

4.3

Average goals per game

75%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
4 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (23%) — the odds may underestimate Swindon Town.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

26 Dec 202323/244.04/3.96/1.80
Match Details
19 Aug 202323/241.56/4.10/5.29
Match Details
13/01/0706/071.56/3.50/5.34
9 Sept 200606/072.70/3.17/2.33

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 24.8%Draw 25.3%Away 55.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.803.751.75
Max4.204.121.83
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:Wrexham · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market23.5%23.5%53.1%
Public market22.6%25.4%52.0%
Δ0.8%1.9%1.1%

Swindon Town vs Wrexham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Wrexham
Result vs. Market: Wrexham (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Swindon TownHalf-time:01Wrexham
16Shots15
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Swindon Town

W 200D 108L 142
Over 2.555
Goals scored677

Away Record: Wrexham

W 64D 46L 74
Over 2.547
Goals scored231

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026