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Grimsby vs Tranmere

Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire27 January 2024 at 15:00
12
Referee: P. Howard

Match Events

Grimsby
Tranmere
Kick Off
Danny Rose4′
35′
R. Apter

assist: T. Davies

D. Tharme
39′
Half Time
54′
T. Mullarkey

Own Goal

58′Charlie Jolley
D. TharmeN. Maher
62′
H. WoodC. Vernam
66′
84′
C. JolleyK. Dennis
84′
R. ApterR. McAlear
K. GreenG. Holohan
86′
Abobaker EisaJ. Obikwu
87′
87′
B. WalkerP. Lewis
90+6′Paul Lewis
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots5
6Blocked Shots0
10Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls10
6Corner Kicks2
2Offsides4
55%Ball Possession45%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
374Total passes303
267Passes accurate184
71%Passes %61%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Grimsby is 6.86, compared to 6.95 for Tranmere. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Grimsby's highest-rated starter is K. Green (7.00), while Tranmere's best-rated player is L. McGee (7.22).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Grimsby have contributed 18 goals and 7 assists this season, led by K. Green (13G). Tranmere's starters account for 4 goals and 4 assists, spearheaded by C. Jennings (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Grimsby deploy 4 defenders rated 6.95 on average, against Tranmere's 4-man backline averaging 6.88. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Grimsby field 5 midfielders averaging 7.00, versus Tranmere's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Grimsby start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.53, compared to 2 for Tranmere averaging 6.80. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 62% for Grimsby and 66% for Tranmere. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Grimsby's starters have collected 13 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Tranmere. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Grimsby's starting XI is 28.8 (youngest: D. Tharme (26), oldest: D. Rose (32)), while Tranmere average 30.0 (youngest: L. O'Connor (25), oldest: C. Jennings (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Grimsby's starters average 28 league appearances each, versus 15 for Tranmere. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Grimsby4-1-4-14-4-2Tranmere
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Cartwri.28Mullark.24Tharme5Rodgers3Driscol.4Green15Clifton18Wood19Andrews7Eisa32Rose1McGee2O'Connor5Davies6Turnbull27Wood25Apter4Walker8Hendry7Morris18Jennings12Jolley

Substitutes

Coach: D. Artell

Substitutes

Coach: N. Adkins

GrimsbyPosition StrengthTranmere
6.86
Avg Rating
6.95
Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.22
0G 0A0G 0A
6.95Defender (4 v 4)6.88
3G 2A0G 1A
7.00Midfielder (5 v 4)
13G 5A0G 0A
6.53Forward (1 v 2)6.80
2G 0A4G 3A
Grimsby4-1-4-1
1GoalkeeperH. Cartwright
28DefenderT. Mullarkey
24DefenderD. Tharme6.9
5DefenderH. Rodgers7.03G2A
3DefenderA. Driscoll-Glennon
4MidfielderK. Green7.013G5A
15MidfielderH. Clifton
18MidfielderH. Wood
19MidfielderJ. Andrews
7MidfielderAbobaker Eisa
32ForwardD. Rose6.52G
Tranmere4-4-2
1GoalkeeperL. McGee7.2
2DefenderL. O'Connor6.8
5DefenderT. Davies
6DefenderJ. Turnbull6.91A
27DefenderC. Wood
25MidfielderR. Apter
4MidfielderB. Walker
8MidfielderR. Hendry
7MidfielderK. Morris
18ForwardC. Jennings6.84G3A
12ForwardC. Jolley

Match Summary

Tranmere defeated Grimsby 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2023. Goals were scored by R. Apter 35′, D. Tharme 39′, T. Mullarkey 54′ (o.g.). 3 yellow cards were shown. Grimsby had 55% possession while Tranmere held 45%. Grimsby had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for Tranmere. Grimsby made 4 substitutions, Tranmere made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Grimsby vs Tranmere Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Grimsby
3
wins
Drawn
5
Tranmere
5
wins
Total goals
37 · 2.8/match
Both scored
8/13 · 62%
Over 2.5
6/13 · 46%

Recent Form

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Tranmere

DLWLDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Grimsby2wins
4draws10 meetings
Tranmere4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate Tranmere.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.5%Draw 28.5%Away 31.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.503.10
Max2.343.523.30
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Grimsby · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.4%27.5%31.1%
Public market44.1%27.1%28.8%
Δ2.8%0.4%2.4%

Grimsby vs Tranmere — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tranmere
Result vs. Market: Grimsby (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GrimsbyHalf-time:11Tranmere
12Shots5
3Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/05/26Tranmere1–1Grimsby3.10/3.50/2.10
27/11/25Grimsby1–2Tranmere1.68/3.80/4.33
04/03/25Grimsby1–1Tranmere1.77/3.53/4.54
22/10/24Tranmere0–1Grimsby2.04/3.24/3.89
27/01/24Grimsby1–2Tranmere2.20/3.51/3.17
07/10/23Tranmere2–2Grimsby2.68/3.34/2.62
22/04/23Tranmere2–0Grimsby2.79/3.21/2.61
10/12/22Grimsby2–1Tranmere2.45/3.12/3.11
17/03/21Grimsby0–0Tranmere3.97/3.39/1.96
21/11/20Tranmere5–0Grimsby2.08/3.36/3.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Away Record: Tranmere

W 124D 95L 149
Over 2.542
Goals scored427

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026