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Tranmere vs Grimsby

Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside22 October 2024 at 19:45
01
Referee: B. Toner

Match Events

Tranmere
Grimsby
Kick Off
Luke McGee24′
Half Time
54′
Danny Rose

Missed Penalty

59′
J. Obikwu

assist: L. Barrington

66′
J. ObikwuC. Gardner
69′Jackson Smith
Lee O'Connor73′
S. TaylorH. Saunders
74′
O. PatrickJ. Hawkes
74′
76′Tyrell Warren
K. MorrisC. Jennings
78′
79′
L. BarringtonG. McEachran
Jordan Turnbull80′
Luke Norris82′
86′
C. AinleyL. Cass
Regan Hendry90+5′
Tom Davies90+3′
L. OConnorR. Hendry
90+1′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
18Total Shots10
8Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls8
4Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
58%Ball Possession42%
6Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total passes300
298Passes accurate196
74%Passes %65%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Tranmere is 6.96, compared to 6.90 for Grimsby. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Tranmere's highest-rated starter is L. McGee (7.22), while Grimsby's best-rated player is C. McJannet (7.16).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Tranmere have contributed 12 goals and 8 assists this season, led by O. Patrick (7G). Grimsby's starters account for 11 goals and 6 assists, spearheaded by E. Khouri (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Tranmere deploy 4 defenders rated 6.94 on average, against Grimsby's 5-man backline averaging 6.99. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Tranmere field 5 midfielders averaging 6.88, versus Grimsby's 3 rated 6.82. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Tranmere start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Grimsby averaging 6.53. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 64% for Tranmere and 67% for Grimsby. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Tranmere's starters have collected 21 yellow cards this season, compared to 20 for Grimsby. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Tranmere's starting XI is 28.6 (youngest: S. Taylor (22), oldest: S. Finley (33)), while Grimsby average 26.7 (youngest: E. Khouri (22), oldest: D. Rose (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Tranmere's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 28 for Grimsby. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Tranmere4-2-3-15-3-2Grimsby
GKDEFMIDFWD
1McGee2Norman5Davies6Turnbull23Wood22O'Connor17Finley20Taylor7Morris30Patrick9Norris31Smith21Warren5Rodgers24Tharme17McJannet33Hume14Barring.30Khouri16Ainley9Obikwu32Rose

Substitutes

Coach: N. Adkins

Substitutes

Coach: D. Artell

TranmerePosition StrengthGrimsby
6.96
Avg Rating
6.90
7.22Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.00
0G 0A0G 0A
6.94Defender (4 v 5)6.99
3G 3A5G 4A
6.88Midfielder (5 v 3)6.82
9G 5A4G 2A
Forward (1 v 2)6.53
0G 0A2G 0A
Tranmere4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperL. McGee7.2
2DefenderC. Norman6.93G2A
5DefenderT. Davies
6DefenderJ. Turnbull6.91A
23DefenderC. Wood
22MidfielderL. O'Connor6.8
17MidfielderS. Finley7.02G
20MidfielderS. Taylor
7MidfielderK. Morris
30MidfielderO. Patrick6.87G5A
9ForwardL. Norris
Grimsby5-3-2
31GoalkeeperJ. Smith7.0
21DefenderT. Warren6.9
5DefenderH. Rodgers7.03G2A
24DefenderD. Tharme6.9
17DefenderC. McJannet7.22G2A
33DefenderD. Hume
14MidfielderL. Barrington
30MidfielderE. Khouri6.84G2A
16MidfielderC. Ainley
9ForwardJ. Obikwu
32ForwardD. Rose6.52G

Match Summary

Grimsby defeated Tranmere 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024. Goals were scored by Danny Rose 54′, J. Obikwu 59′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Tranmere had 58% possession while Grimsby held 42%. Tranmere had 18 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Grimsby. Tranmere made 4 substitutions, Grimsby made 3.

Rivalry since 2015

Tranmere vs Grimsby Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Tranmere
6
wins
Drawn
5
Grimsby
2
wins
Total goals
39 · 3.0/match
Both scored
9/13 · 69%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Form

Tranmere

DLWLDL

Grimsby

DWWWLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Tranmere4wins
4draws10 meetings
Grimsby2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.5

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.9%Draw 30.9%Away 25.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.103.70
Max2.083.404.10
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Tranmere · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.8%29.7%24.5%
Public market46.9%30.2%22.9%
Δ1.1%0.6%1.7%

Tranmere vs Grimsby — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Grimsby
Result vs. Market: Tranmere (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TranmereHalf-time:00Grimsby
18Shots10
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/05/26Tranmere1–1Grimsby3.10/3.50/2.10
27/11/25Grimsby1–2Tranmere1.68/3.80/4.33
04/03/25Grimsby1–1Tranmere1.77/3.53/4.54
22/10/24Tranmere0–1Grimsby2.04/3.24/3.89
27/01/24Grimsby1–2Tranmere2.20/3.51/3.17
07/10/23Tranmere2–2Grimsby2.68/3.34/2.62
22/04/23Tranmere2–0Grimsby2.79/3.21/2.61
10/12/22Grimsby2–1Tranmere2.45/3.12/3.11
17/03/21Grimsby0–0Tranmere3.97/3.39/1.96
21/11/20Tranmere5–0Grimsby2.08/3.36/3.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Tranmere

W 124D 95L 149
Over 2.542
Goals scored427

Away Record: Grimsby

W 223D 181L 277
Over 2.548
Goals scored792

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026