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Carlisle vs Bradford

18 January 2025 at 12:30Brunton Park, Carlisle, Cumbria
01
Referee: B. Speedie

Match Summary

Bradford defeated Carlisle 1:0. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2013

Carlisle vs Bradford Head to Head Results· 12

Carlisle and Bradford have met 12 times — Carlisle won 5, Bradford won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. A combined 23 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.92 per match (10 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (25%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bradford are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2021.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
23 · 1.9/match
Both scored
3/12 · 25%
Over 2.5
4/12 · 33%

Recent Meetings

07/09/24League Two
Match Details
14/05/23League Two
Match Details
21/03/23League Two
Match Details
26/12/22League Two
Match Details
07/05/22League Two
Match Details
08/01/22League Two
Match Details
13/03/21League Two
Match Details
05/12/20League Two
Match Details
26/12/19League Two
Match Details
21/09/19League Two
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Bradford show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Carlisle

LWWWDD

Bradford

LLWDDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Carlisle.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Jan 202524/253.27/3.29/2.21
Match Details
7 Sept 202424/251.73/3.74/4.51
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21 Mar 202322/232.38/3.12/3.21
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26 Dec 202222/232.44/3.21/2.98
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7 May 202221/221.93/3.65/3.80
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8 Jan 202221/222.58/3.24/2.78
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13 Mar 202120/212.43/3.12/3.08
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5 Dec 202020/213.06/3.29/2.37
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26 Dec 201919/203.13/3.43/2.25
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21 Sept 201919/201.81/3.68/4.55
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 30.6%Draw 30.4%Away 45.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.203.252.20
Max3.303.332.22
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Bradford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market28.8%28.5%42.7%
Public market29.1%28.6%42.3%

Carlisle vs Bradford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bradford
Result vs. Market: Bradford (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

CarlisleHalf-time:00Bradford
9Shots8
3Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Carlisle

W 183D 139L 175
Over 2.549
Goals scored653

Away Record: Bradford

W 201D 153L 189
Over 2.547
Goals scored679

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026