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Colchester vs Port Vale

11 March 2025 at 19:45JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
21
Referee: A. Bannister

Match Summary

Colchester defeated Port Vale 2:1. The match was played in League Two 2024.

Rivalry since 2013

Colchester vs Port Vale Head to Head Results· 17

Colchester and Port Vale have met 17 times — Colchester won 6, Port Vale won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. A combined 39 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.29 per match (18 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (41%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2018.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
39 · 2.3/match
Both scored
8/17 · 47%
Over 2.5
7/17 · 41%

Recent Meetings

01/10/24League Two
Match Details
05/03/22League Two
Match Details
23/10/21League Two
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20/03/21League Two
Match Details
12/12/20League Two
Match Details
15/02/20League Two
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03/08/19League Two
Match Details
12/01/19League Two
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11/08/18League Two
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27/01/18League Two
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Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Colchester have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Port Vale show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Colchester.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

11 Mar 202524/252.04/3.01/4.08
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1 Oct 202424/251.83/3.52/4.37
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5 Mar 202221/223.04/3.17/2.46
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23 Oct 202121/221.75/3.50/4.81
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20 Mar 202120/212.87/3.35/2.46
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12 Dec 202020/212.07/3.52/3.50
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15 Feb 202019/202.88/3.22/2.54
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3 Aug 201919/202.16/3.51/3.33
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12 Jan 201918/193.22/3.30/2.33
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11 Aug 201818/192.06/3.45/3.73
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Market Summary

Margin: 6.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.0%Draw 33.2%Away 24.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.002.933.90
Max2.073.104.35
Over 2.5: 37.0%Under 2.5: 69.4%
Market favourite:Colchester · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.8%32.4%21.8%
Public market46.3%29.9%23.8%
Δ0.5%2.5%2.0%

Colchester vs Port Vale — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Colchester
Result vs. Market: Colchester (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ColchesterHalf-time:10Port Vale
11Shots8
6Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Colchester

W 152D 136L 163
Over 2.544
Goals scored546

Away Record: Port Vale

W 186D 141L 170
Over 2.546
Goals scored641

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026