Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Lille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (58%) — the odds may underestimate Lille.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.63 | 3.50 | 5.44 |
| Max | 1.72 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 57.8% | 24.3% | 17.9% |
| Public market | 55.4% | 27.2% | 17.3% |
| Δ | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
Lille vs Toulouse — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Toulouse | 0–4 | Lille | 3.20/3.30/2.30 |
| 14/09/2525/26 | Lille | 2–1 | Toulouse | 1.77/3.90/4.46 |
| 12/04/2524/25 | Toulouse | 1–2 | Lille | 2.87/3.26/2.58 |
| 05/10/2424/25 | Lille | 2–1 | Toulouse | 1.74/3.96/4.58 |
| 25/02/2423/24 | Toulouse | 3–1 | Lille | 4.06/3.57/1.90 |
| 12/11/2323/24 | Lille | 1–1 | Toulouse | 1.56/4.24/5.71 |
| 18/03/2322/23 | Toulouse | 0–2 | Lille | 3.26/3.60/2.18 |
| 17/09/2222/23 | Lille | 2–1 | Toulouse | 1.77/3.98/4.40 |
| 22/02/2019/20 | Lille | 3–0 | Toulouse | 1.36/4.77/9.26 |
| 19/10/1919/20 | Toulouse | 2–1 | Lille | 3.50/3.32/2.16 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lille
Away Record: Toulouse
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Toulouse defeated Lille 2:1. The match was played in Ligue 1 2018. Goals were scored by Rafael Leão 17′, M. Gradel 49′ (pen.), M. Gradel 64′ (pen.). 7 yellow cards were shown. Lille had 58% possession while Toulouse held 42%. Lille had 17 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Toulouse. Lille made 3 substitutions, Toulouse made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Lille and Toulouse — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Thiago Maia
Penalty
Penalty
Match Statistics
Lille had 58% possession against Toulouse's 42%. Lille registered 17 shots (5 on target) while Toulouse managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 6–7. Fouls committed: 11–18.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Lille have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Toulouse show 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Lille
Toulouse
Lille vs Toulouse Head to Head Results
Lille and Toulouse have met 27 times — Lille won 16, Toulouse won 5, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Lille leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 27 meetings. A combined 71 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.63 per match (45 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Lille are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2013.
16
Lille
6
Drawn
5
Toulouse
Recent Meetings (27)
API data: 15 Mar 2026