Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Marseille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (25%) — the odds may underestimate Marseille.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.91 |
| Max | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.96 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 25.1% | 25.1% | 49.9% |
| Public market | 25.0% | 25.3% | 49.7% |
Toulouse vs Marseille — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2625/26 | Toulouse | 0–1 | Marseille | 2.90/3.50/2.35 |
| 29/11/2525/26 | Marseille | 2–2 | Toulouse | 1.61/4.04/5.75 |
| 06/04/2524/25 | Marseille | 3–2 | Toulouse | 1.76/3.85/4.58 |
| 31/08/2424/25 | Toulouse | 1–3 | Marseille | 3.93/3.71/1.91 |
| 21/04/2423/24 | Toulouse | 2–2 | Marseille | 2.78/3.32/2.56 |
| 17/09/2323/24 | Marseille | 0–0 | Toulouse | 1.45/4.65/6.04 |
| 19/02/2322/23 | Toulouse | 2–3 | Marseille | 3.77/3.78/1.94 |
| 29/12/2222/23 | Marseille | 6–1 | Toulouse | 1.51/4.45/6.23 |
| 08/02/2019/20 | Marseille | 1–0 | Toulouse | 1.32/5.22/10.27 |
| 24/11/1919/20 | Toulouse | 0–2 | Marseille | 3.22/3.45/2.22 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Toulouse
Away Record: Marseille
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Marseille defeated Toulouse 3:2. The match was played in Ligue 1 2022. Goals were scored by T. Dallinga 3′, C. Mbemba 52′, C. Ünder 59′, Nuno Tavares 78′, A. Onaiwu 87′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Toulouse had 52% possession while Marseille held 48%. Toulouse had 15 shots (6 on target) compared to 15 (7 on target) for Marseille. Expected goals: Toulouse 1.99 — Marseille 1.04. Toulouse made 5 substitutions, Marseille made 4. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Cengiz Ünder 60′).
Match Events
Key match events between Toulouse and Marseille — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
assist: M. Desler
assist: G. Suazo
Match Statistics
Toulouse had 52% possession against Marseille's 48%. Toulouse registered 15 shots (6 on target) while Marseille managed 15 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 3–10. Fouls committed: 8–10.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Marseille show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse vs Marseille Head to Head Results
Toulouse and Marseille have met 29 times — Toulouse won 1, Marseille won 16, with 12 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Marseille leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 80 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.76 per match (24 for the home side, 56 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (48%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Marseille are currently unbeaten in the last 25 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 6–1 in 2022.
1
Toulouse
12
Drawn
16
Marseille
Recent Meetings (29)
API data: 15 Mar 2026