Ligue 1 · Season 2018
Match Events
assist: N. Pépé
Match Statistics
Match Summary
Lille defeated Caen 1:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2018. Goals were scored by Rafael Leão 56′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Lille had 58% possession while Caen held 42%. Lille had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Caen. Lille made 3 substitutions, Caen made 3.
Lille vs Caen Head to Head Results
13 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Lille
Caen
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Lille dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (65%) — the odds may underestimate Lille.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.50 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Max | 1.50 | 4.21 | 7.84 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 64.6% | 23.0% | 12.4% |
| Public market | 63.5% | 23.8% | 12.7% |
| Δ | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Lille vs Caen — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/1918/19 | Caen | 1–3 | Lille | 3.72/3.27/2.12 |
| 27/10/1818/19 | Lille | 1–0 | Caen | 1.50/4.07/7.45 |
| 20/08/1717/18 | Lille | 0–2 | Caen | 1.64/3.80/5.76 |
| 13/01/1817/18 | Caen | 0–1 | Lille | 2.56/2.92/3.21 |
| 29/11/1616/17 | Lille | 4–2 | Caen | 1.80/3.40/5.23 |
| 18/02/1716/17 | Caen | 0–1 | Lille | 2.59/3.09/3.00 |
| 05/12/1515/16 | Caen | 1–2 | Lille | 2.42/3.10/3.25 |
| 03/02/1615/16 | Lille | 1–0 | Caen | 1.81/3.36/5.09 |
| 15/08/1414/15 | Caen | 0–1 | Lille | 3.64/3.17/2.18 |
| 10/01/1514/15 | Lille | 1–0 | Caen | 1.83/3.35/5.01 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Lille
Away Record: Caen
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026