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Ligue 1Season 2025

Paris FC vs Lorient

3 October 2025 at 19:45Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
20
Referee: Benoît Millot

Match Summary

Paris FC defeated Lorient 2:0. The match was played in Ligue 1 2025. Goals were scored by I. Kebbal 25′, J. Krasso 30′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Paris FC had 59% possession while Lorient held 41%. Paris FC had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 8 (3 on target) for Lorient. Expected goals: Paris FC 1.02 — Lorient 0.97. Paris FC made 5 substitutions, Lorient made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Jean-Philippe Krasso 4′).

Match Events

Key match events between Paris FC and Lorient — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Goal cancelled4′
VAR
25′
30′
Half Time
60′
P. PagisA. Tosin
60′
M. BambaS. Soumano
J. KrassoJ. Ikone
68′
H. TraoreS. Chergui
68′
A. CamaraW. Geubbels
68′
77′
J. MakengoJ. Mvuka Mugisha
77′
A. KouassiD. Yongwa
M. SimonN. Sangui
85′
I. KebbalJ. Lopez
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Paris FC had 59% possession against Lorient's 41%. Paris FC registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Lorient managed 8 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 1–5. Fouls committed: 19–10.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Total Shots
10
8
Blocked Shots
2
1
Shots inside the Box
7
4
Shots outside the Box
3
4
Fouls
19
10
Corner Kicks
1
5
Offsides
3
2
Ball Possession
59%
41%
Yellow Cards
0
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
0
Total Passes
653
452
Accurate Passes
597
382
Pass Accuracy
91%
85%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
0.97
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.64
-0.64

Rivalry since 2017

Paris FC vs Lorient Head to Head Results· 10

Paris FC and Lorient have met 10 times — Paris FC won 1, Lorient won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2017. Lorient leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 28 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.80 per match (9 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
6
wins
Total goals
28 · 2.8/match
Both scored
6/10 · 60%
Over 2.5
5/10 · 50%

Recent Meetings

05/04/26Ligue 1
Match Details
04/02/26Coupe de France
Match Details
08/03/25Ligue 2
Match Details
14/12/24Ligue 2
Match Details
09/02/21Coupe de France
Match Details
29/07/19Ligue 2
Match Details
15/04/19Ligue 2
Match Details
09/11/18Ligue 2
Match Details
06/04/18Ligue 2
Match Details
03/11/17Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Paris FC have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Lorient show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Paris FC

WLWLWW

Lorient

LWDLWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
2 meetings
0
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Paris FC.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 Apr 202625/262.25/3.30/3.30
Match Details
3 Oct 202525/261.75/3.94/4.51
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.0%Draw 25.4%Away 22.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.904.50
Max1.783.984.52
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Paris FC · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market54.3%24.3%21.4%
Public market54.7%24.3%21.0%

Paris FC vs Lorient — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Paris FC
Result vs. Market: Paris FC (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Paris FCHalf-time:20Lorient
10Shots8
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Paris FC

W 11D 11L 12
Over 2.556
Goals scored47

Away Record: Lorient

W 198D 198L 272
Over 2.546
Goals scored791

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026