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Bastia vs Valenciennes

12 August 2023 at 18:00Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
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Bastia

30
Referee: R. Lissorgue

Match Summary

Bastia defeated Valenciennes 3:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2023.

Rivalry since 2012

Bastia vs Valenciennes Head to Head Results· 10

Bastia and Valenciennes have met 10 times — Bastia won 3, Valenciennes won 5, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Valenciennes leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 10 meetings. A combined 37 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.70 per match (17 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (80%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (70%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–4 in 2013.

3
wins
Drawn
2
·
Total goals
37 · 3.7/match
Both scored
8/10 · 80%
Over 2.5
7/10 · 70%

Recent Meetings

27/01/24Ligue 2
Match Details
11/03/23Ligue 2
Match Details
30/12/22Ligue 2
Match Details
05/03/22Ligue 2
Match Details
21/09/21Ligue 2
Match Details
11/01/14Ligue 1
Match Details
17/08/13Ligue 1
Match Details
30/03/13Ligue 1
Match Details
10/11/12Ligue 1
Match Details
22/01/12Coupe de France
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 34 v 2013

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bastia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Valenciennes show 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

67%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
2
6 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Bastia.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202423/242.70/3.03/2.74
Match Details
12 Aug 202323/241.76/3.44/4.55
Match Details
11 Mar 202322/233.15/2.98/2.47
Match Details
30 Dec 202222/232.21/3.02/3.54
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5 Mar 202221/221.97/3.18/4.32
Match Details
21 Sept 202121/222.89/3.17/2.51
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.7%Draw 29.1%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.254.20
Max1.813.564.95
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.8%
Market favourite:Bastia · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.4%27.1%19.5%
Public market53.2%26.3%20.5%

Bastia vs Valenciennes — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bastia
Result vs. Market: Bastia (57%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BastiaHalf-time:10Valenciennes
15Shots3
7Shots on target1

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Away Record: Valenciennes

W 122D 131L 154
Over 2.541
Goals scored445

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026