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Estac Troyes vs Bastia

28 February 2025 at 19:00Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
20
Away

Bastia

Referee: G. Paradis

Match Summary

Estac Troyes defeated Bastia 2:0. The match was played in Ligue 2 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

Estac Troyes vs Bastia Head to Head Results· 12

Estac Troyes and Bastia have met 12 times — Estac Troyes won 4, Bastia won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 26 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.17 per match (12 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 games (25%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Estac Troyes are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2012.

Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
26 · 2.2/match
Both scored
4/12 · 33%
Over 2.5
3/12 · 25%

Recent Meetings

16/02/26Ligue 2
Match Details
10/01/26Coupe de France
Match Details
17/10/25Ligue 2
Match Details
13/09/24Ligue 2
Match Details
09/03/24Ligue 2
Match Details
26/08/23Ligue 2
Match Details
06/02/16Ligue 1
Match Details
12/12/15Ligue 1
Match Details
23/02/13Ligue 1
Match Details
06/10/12Ligue 1
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 51 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Estac Troyes have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Bastia show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

25%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
8 meetings
2
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Estac Troyes.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

16 Feb 202625/263.10/3.00/2.25
Match Details
17 Oct 202525/261.79/3.58/4.50
Match Details
28 Feb 202524/252.71/2.84/2.93
Match Details
13 Sept 202424/251.67/3.61/5.02
Match Details
9 Mar 202423/242.62/3.12/2.81
Match Details
26 Aug 202323/242.03/3.37/3.56
Match Details
9 Sept 201111/122.57/2.97/2.81
2 Apr 201211/121.64/3.31/5.88

Market Summary

Margin: 6.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 36.9%Draw 35.2%Away 34.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.702.752.90
Max2.722.972.99
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.4%32.4%32.2%
Public market34.3%33.7%32.0%
Δ1.1%1.3%0.2%

Estac Troyes vs Bastia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Estac Troyes
Result vs. Market: Estac Troyes (37%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Estac TroyesHalf-time:10Bastia
13Shots11
5Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Estac Troyes

W 290D 177L 206
Over 2.542
Goals scored860

Away Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026