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Bastia vs Rodez

23 September 2025 at 19:30Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
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Bastia

23
Away

Rodez

Referee: Mickael Leleu

Match Summary

Rodez defeated Bastia 3:2. The match was played in Ligue 2 2025.

Rivalry since 2021

Bastia vs Rodez Head to Head Results· 11

Bastia and Rodez have met 11 times — Bastia won 3, Rodez won 4, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Rodez leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 11 meetings. A combined 22 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (11 for the home side, 11 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 4 matches (36%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (18%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Bastia are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2024.

3
wins
Drawn
4
·
4
wins
Total goals
22 · 2.0/match
Both scored
4/11 · 36%
Over 2.5
2/11 · 18%

Recent Meetings

20/03/26Ligue 2
Match Details
07/02/25Ligue 2
Match Details
29/10/24Ligue 2
Match Details
27/07/24Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
17/02/24Ligue 2
Match Details
21/10/23Ligue 2
Match Details
25/02/23Ligue 2
Match Details
27/08/22Ligue 2
Match Details
14/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
07/05/22Ligue 2
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 22 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Bastia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Rodez show 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Bastia

LWDWLD

Rodez

WWWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
4
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Rodez.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Mar 202625/262.50/3.00/2.63
Match Details
23 Sept 202525/261.89/3.55/3.88
Match Details
7 Feb 202524/252.50/3.24/2.87
Match Details
29 Oct 202424/252.02/3.24/3.83
Match Details
17 Feb 202423/242.39/3.13/3.03
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21 Oct 202323/241.89/3.51/4.03
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25 Feb 202322/232.61/2.96/2.93
Match Details
27 Aug 202222/231.97/3.01/4.41
Match Details
7 May 202221/222.30/3.16/3.16
Match Details
21 Dec 202121/222.38/2.86/3.30
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 53.1%Draw 28.1%Away 25.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.853.403.75
Max1.923.714.01
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Bastia · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.1%25.9%24.0%
Public market49.1%26.7%24.2%
Δ1.0%0.8%0.2%

Bastia vs Rodez — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rodez
Result vs. Market: Bastia (53%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BastiaHalf-time:10Rodez
20Shots10
9Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bastia

W 145D 118L 146
Over 2.538
Goals scored483

Away Record: Rodez

W 77D 90L 81
Over 2.544
Goals scored303

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026