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AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk

31 January 2020 at 19:00AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
40
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar defeated Waalwijk 4:0. The match was played in Eredivisie 2019.

Rivalry since 2011

AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk Head to Head Results· 18

AZ Alkmaar and Waalwijk have met 18 times — AZ Alkmaar won 12, Waalwijk won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. AZ Alkmaar leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.39 per match (41 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (83%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AZ Alkmaar are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2012.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
61 · 3.4/match
Both scored
10/18 · 56%
Over 2.5
15/18 · 83%

Recent Meetings

01/04/25Eredivisie
Match Details
30/08/24Eredivisie
Match Details
13/04/24Eredivisie
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20/08/23Eredivisie
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23/04/23Eredivisie
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06/11/22Eredivisie
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15/05/22Eredivisie
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09/02/22KNVB Beker
Match Details
14/08/21Eredivisie
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01/05/21Eredivisie
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2012

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats. Waalwijk show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Waalwijk

DLDDWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

90%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

AZ Alkmaar dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (86%) — the odds may underestimate Waalwijk.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

1 Apr 202524/251.31/5.91/8.62
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30 Aug 202424/257.30/4.63/1.43
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13 Apr 202423/241.30/5.61/9.63
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20 Aug 202323/245.07/4.10/1.59
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23 Apr 202322/231.34/5.27/8.60
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6 Nov 202222/234.05/3.96/1.81
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15 May 202221/221.25/6.03/10.64
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14 Aug 202121/226.83/4.65/1.45
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1 May 202120/217.31/5.07/1.39
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1 Nov 202020/211.23/6.23/12.07
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Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 90.4%Draw 10.9%Away 4.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.109.0017.00
Max1.129.5123.92
Over 2.5: 73.5%Under 2.5: 32.3%
Market favourite:AZ Alkmaar · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market86.1%10.0%4.0%
Public market84.0%10.5%5.5%
Δ2.1%0.5%1.6%

AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

AZ Alkmaar
Result vs. Market: AZ Alkmaar (90%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AZ AlkmaarHalf-time:20Waalwijk
20Shots11
7Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: AZ Alkmaar

W 476D 211L 289
Over 2.562
Goals scored1759

Away Record: Waalwijk

W 227D 187L 394
Over 2.556
Goals scored998

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026