23 April 2016 at 11:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Manchester City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.9
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (75%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.
Market Summary
Margin: 3.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Max | 1.33 | 6.00 | 11.67 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 75.0% | 16.6% | 8.4% |
| Public market | 74.9% | 16.2% | 8.9% |
Manchester City vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/1817/18 | Stoke City | 0–2 | Manchester City | 13.75/6.46/1.25 |
| 14/10/1717/18 | Manchester City | 7–2 | Stoke City | 1.15/9.00/20.63 |
| 20/08/1616/17 | Stoke City | 1–4 | Manchester City | 5.32/3.75/1.72 |
| 08/03/1716/17 | Manchester City | 0–0 | Stoke City | 1.25/6.43/13.87 |
| 23/04/1615/16 | Manchester City | 4–0 | Stoke City | 1.31/5.64/10.56 |
| 05/12/1515/16 | Stoke City | 2–0 | Manchester City | 5.33/3.82/1.70 |
| 30/08/1414/15 | Manchester City | 0–1 | Stoke City | 1.19/7.10/18.98 |
| 11/02/1514/15 | Stoke City | 1–4 | Manchester City | 5.63/3.76/1.70 |
| 14/09/1313/14 | Stoke City | 0–0 | Manchester City | 6.03/3.74/1.67 |
| 22/02/1413/14 | Manchester City | 1–0 | Stoke City | 1.18/7.53/18.18 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Manchester City
Away Record: Stoke City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Manchester City defeated Stoke City 4:0. The match was played in Premier League 2015. Goals were scored by Fernando 35′, S. Agüero 43′ (pen.), K. Iheanacho 64′, K. Iheanacho 74′. Manchester City had 53% possession while Stoke City held 47%. Manchester City had 11 shots (6 on target) compared to 14 (2 on target) for Stoke City. Manchester City made 3 substitutions, Stoke City made 2.
Match Events
Key match events between Manchester City and Stoke City — 4 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Jesús Navas
Penalty
assist: P. Zabaleta
assist: W. Bony
Match Statistics
Manchester City had 53% possession against Stoke City's 47%. Manchester City registered 11 shots (6 on target) while Stoke City managed 14 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 9–4. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Stoke City show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Manchester City
Stoke City
API data: 15 Mar 2026