15 May 2016 at 14:00

40
Full Time
Referee: Mark Clattenburg

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Arsenal dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Arsenal6wins
1draws10 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.1

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (84%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 86.2%Draw 11.6%Away 5.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.147.5017.00
Max1.179.3519.00
Market favourite:Arsenal · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market84.0%10.5%5.5%
Public market83.4%10.8%5.7%

Arsenal vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Arsenal
Result vs. Market: Arsenal (86%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ArsenalHalf-time:10Aston Villa
16Shots5
7Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/12/25Arsenal4–1Aston Villa1.42/4.86/7.25
06/12/25Aston Villa2–1Arsenal4.26/3.51/1.91
18/01/25Arsenal2–2Aston Villa1.52/4.23/6.46
24/08/24Aston Villa0–2Arsenal4.40/3.89/1.77
14/04/24Arsenal0–2Aston Villa1.28/6.01/9.83
09/12/23Aston Villa1–0Arsenal3.31/3.68/2.07
18/02/23Aston Villa2–4Arsenal4.46/3.67/1.72
31/08/22Arsenal2–1Aston Villa1.46/4.52/6.66
19/03/22Aston Villa0–1Arsenal2.99/3.43/2.40
22/10/21Arsenal3–1Aston Villa1.88/3.71/4.14

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Arsenal

W 699D 305L 252
Over 2.554
Goals scored2287

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 406D 316L 420
Over 2.549
Goals scored1436

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Arsenal defeated Aston Villa 4:0. The match was played in Premier League 2015. Goals were scored by O. Giroud 5′, O. Giroud 78′, O. Giroud 80′, M. Bunn 90′ (o.g.). 1 yellow cards were shown. Arsenal had 59% possession while Aston Villa held 41%. Arsenal had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 5 (2 on target) for Aston Villa. Arsenal made 3 substitutions, Aston Villa made 2.

Match Events

Key match events between Arsenal and Aston Villa — 4 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Kick Off
O. Giroud

assist: Nacho Monreal

5′
Half Time
65′
J. LescottM. Richards
J. WilshereMohamed El Nenny
69′
75′
J. LydenJ. Grealish
O. Giroud

assist: M. Özil

78′
O. Giroud

assist: Bellerín

80′
M. ÖzilArteta
88′
Santi CazorlaJ. Campbell
88′
M. Bunn

Own Goal

90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Arsenal had 59% possession against Aston Villa's 41%. Arsenal registered 16 shots (7 on target) while Aston Villa managed 5 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 12–6.

7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal0
16Total Shots5
2Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox2
5Shots outsidebox3
12Fouls6
5Corner Kicks4
0Offsides0
59%Ball Possession41%
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
609Total passes414
539Passes accurate338
89%Passes %82%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Arsenal

DLWLLW

Aston Villa

WDWWWL

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

Arsenal and Aston Villa have met 2 times — Arsenal won 1, Aston Villa won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (5 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2025.

1

Arsenal

0

Drawn

1

Aston Villa

Goals: 5Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (2)

30 Dec 2025Arsenal4 – 1Aston Villa
6 Dec 2025Aston Villa2 – 1Arsenal
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026