21 May 2017 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Manchester City dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
4.6
Average goals per game
90%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 3.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Max | 11.51 | 6.21 | 1.30 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 8.5% | 15.7% | 75.8% |
| Public market | 8.9% | 16.2% | 74.9% |
Watford vs Manchester City — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2221/22 | Manchester City | 5–1 | Watford | 1.11/9.39/25.60 |
| 04/12/2121/22 | Watford | 1–3 | Manchester City | 13.29/6.98/1.20 |
| 21/07/2019/20 | Watford | 0–4 | Manchester City | 8.86/5.68/1.32 |
| 21/09/1919/20 | Manchester City | 8–0 | Watford | 1.10/10.90/23.19 |
| 09/03/1918/19 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Watford | 1.15/8.60/19.03 |
| 04/12/1818/19 | Watford | 1–2 | Manchester City | 10.25/5.83/1.30 |
| 02/01/1817/18 | Manchester City | 3–1 | Watford | 1.15/8.40/18.32 |
| 16/09/1717/18 | Watford | 0–6 | Manchester City | 8.94/5.71/1.34 |
| 14/12/1616/17 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Watford | 1.27/6.47/11.75 |
| 21/05/1716/17 | Watford | 0–5 | Manchester City | 10.84/5.90/1.29 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Watford
Away Record: Manchester City
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Manchester City defeated Watford 5:0. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by V. Kompany 5′, S. Agüero 23′, S. Agüero 36′, Fernandinho 41′, Gabriel Jesus 58′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 32% possession while Manchester City held 68%. Watford had 6 shots (3 on target) compared to 15 (9 on target) for Manchester City. Watford made 3 substitutions, Manchester City made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Watford and Manchester City — 5 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: K. De Bruyne
assist: K. De Bruyne
assist: L. Sané
assist: Gabriel Jesus
assist: S. Agüero
Match Statistics
Watford had 32% possession against Manchester City's 68%. Watford registered 6 shots (3 on target) while Manchester City managed 15 (9 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 12–10.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Watford have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Manchester City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Watford
Manchester City
API data: 15 Mar 2026