11 March 2023 at 15:00

Referee: C. Pawson

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Tottenham4wins
0draws8 meetings
Nottingham Forest4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

38%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (67%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 69.6%Draw 21.7%Away 13.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.424.407.00
Max1.454.757.80
Over 2.5: 53.2%Under 2.5: 48.8%
Market favourite:Tottenham · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market66.9%20.7%12.4%
Public market66.3%20.1%13.6%
Δ0.6%0.6%1.2%

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Tottenham
Result vs. Market: Tottenham (70%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TottenhamHalf-time:20Nottingham Forest
15Shots9
7Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
22/03/26Tottenham0–3Nottingham Forest2.25/3.40/3.20
14/12/25Nottingham Forest3–0Tottenham2.58/3.35/2.81
21/04/25Tottenham1–2Nottingham Forest2.49/3.69/2.66
26/12/24Nottingham Forest1–0Tottenham2.35/3.72/2.85
07/04/24Tottenham3–1Nottingham Forest1.38/5.49/6.94
15/12/23Nottingham Forest0–2Tottenham4.37/4.11/1.72
11/03/23Tottenham3–1Nottingham Forest1.44/4.61/7.43
28/08/22Nottingham Forest0–2Tottenham7.05/4.54/1.46

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Tottenham

W 542D 296L 418
Over 2.554
Goals scored1933

Away Record: Nottingham Forest

W 95D 86L 121
Over 2.547
Goals scored365

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Tottenham defeated Nottingham Forest 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2022. Goals were scored by H. Kane 19′, H. Kane 35′ (pen.), Son Heung-Min 62′, J. Worrall 81′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Tottenham had 55% possession while Nottingham Forest held 45%. Tottenham had 15 shots (7 on target) compared to 9 (5 on target) for Nottingham Forest. Expected goals: Tottenham 2.00 — Nottingham Forest 1.54. Tottenham made 3 substitutions, Nottingham Forest made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Richarlison 6′), Penalty confirmed (Emmanuel Dennis 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Tottenham and Nottingham Forest — 4 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
Kick Off
Goal cancelled6′
VAR
H. Kane

assist: Pedro Porro

19′
H. Kane

Penalty

35′
Half Time
46′
O. MangalaA. Ayew
46′
J. LingardE. Dennis
Son Heung-Min

assist: Richarlison

62′
67′
B. JohnsonC. Wood
67′
R. FreulerR. Yates
73′
C. WoodN. Williams
81′
J. Worrall

assist: Felipe

Son Heung-MinLucas Moura
84′
RicharlisonD. Kulusevski
84′
VAR
90+4′Penalty confirmed
O. SkippP. Sarr
90+7′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Tottenham had 55% possession against Nottingham Forest's 45%. Tottenham registered 15 shots (7 on target) while Nottingham Forest managed 9 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 2–10. Fouls committed: 13–13.

7Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots9
5Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls13
2Corner Kicks10
1Offsides1
55%Ball Possession45%
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
490Total passes391
427Passes accurate318
87%Passes %81%
2.00expected_goals1.54

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Tottenham have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Nottingham Forest show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.

Tottenham

DLLWDL

Nottingham Forest

WWDDWW

Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head Results

Tottenham and Nottingham Forest have met 9 times — Tottenham won 4, Nottingham Forest won 5, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Nottingham Forest leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 24 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (11 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (56%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2024.

4

Tottenham

0

Drawn

5

Nottingham Forest

Goals: 11Goals: 13

Recent Meetings (9)

22 Mar 2026Tottenham0 – 3Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 2025Nottingham Forest3 – 0Tottenham
21 Apr 2025Tottenham1 – 2Nottingham Forest
26 Dec 2024Nottingham Forest1 – 0Tottenham
7 Apr 2024Tottenham3 – 1Nottingham Forest
15 Dec 2023Nottingham Forest0 – 2Tottenham
9 Nov 2022Nottingham Forest2 – 0Tottenham
28 Aug 2022Nottingham Forest0 – 2Tottenham
24 Sept 2014Tottenham3 – 1Nottingham Forest
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026