8 May 2023 at 19:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Nottingham Forest dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.5
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (45%) — the odds may underestimate Nottingham Forest.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Max | 2.17 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 44.8% | 27.0% | 28.2% |
| Public market | 45.4% | 26.5% | 28.1% |
Nottingham Forest vs Southampton — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2524/25 | Nottingham Forest | 3–2 | Southampton | 1.39/4.76/7.92 |
| 24/08/2424/25 | Southampton | 0–1 | Nottingham Forest | 2.55/3.33/2.87 |
| 08/05/2322/23 | Nottingham Forest | 4–3 | Southampton | 2.12/3.53/3.45 |
| 04/01/2322/23 | Southampton | 0–1 | Nottingham Forest | 2.05/3.44/3.79 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nottingham Forest
Away Record: Southampton
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nottingham Forest defeated Southampton 4:3. The match was played in Premier League 2022. Goals were scored by T. Awoniyi 18′, T. Awoniyi 21′, C. Alcaraz 25′, M. Gibbs-White 44′ (pen.), Lyanco 51′, Danilo 73′, J. Ward-Prowse 90′ (pen.). 1 yellow cards were shown. Nottingham Forest had 36% possession while Southampton held 64%. Nottingham Forest had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 19 (5 on target) for Southampton. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.80 — Southampton 3.24. Nottingham Forest made 5 substitutions, Southampton made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Felipe 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between Nottingham Forest and Southampton — 7 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: B. Johnson
assist: Danilo
assist: S. Armstrong
Penalty
assist: J. Ward-Prowse
assist: M. Gibbs-White
Penalty
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest had 36% possession against Southampton's 64%. Nottingham Forest registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Southampton managed 19 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 2–11. Fouls committed: 16–10.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Southampton show 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nottingham Forest
Southampton
API data: 15 Mar 2026