18 September 2023 at 18:45
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.3
Average goals per game
33%
Games with 3+ goals
100%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Max | 2.23 | 3.58 | 3.33 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 43.6% | 27.2% | 29.2% |
| Public market | 43.4% | 27.3% | 29.4% |
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nottingham Forest
Away Record: Burnley
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nottingham Forest and Burnley drew 1:1. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by Z. Amdouni 41′, C. Hudson-Odoi 61′. 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Nottingham Forest had 46% possession while Burnley held 54%. Nottingham Forest had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (3 on target) for Burnley. Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 0.71 — Burnley 0.55. Nottingham Forest made 4 substitutions, Burnley made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Lyle Foster 78′), Card upgrade (Lyle Foster 90′).
Match Events
Key match events between Nottingham Forest and Burnley — 2 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
assist: L. Foster
assist: T. Awoniyi
Match Statistics
Nottingham Forest had 46% possession against Burnley's 54%. Nottingham Forest registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Burnley managed 10 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 16–10.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Burnley show 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Head to Head Results
Nottingham Forest and Burnley have met 13 times — Nottingham Forest won 3, Burnley won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Burnley leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 35 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.69 per match (15 for the home side, 20 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (69%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nottingham Forest are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–1 in 2011.
3
Nottingham Forest
4
Drawn
6
Burnley
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 15 Mar 2026