21 October 2023 at 16:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Arsenal dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Arsenal.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Max | 3.33 | 3.50 | 2.26 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 29.2% | 27.8% | 43.0% |
| Public market | 29.7% | 28.0% | 42.3% |
Chelsea vs Arsenal — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2625/26 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Chelsea | 1.60/3.80/5.50 |
| 30/11/2525/26 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Arsenal | 3.44/3.31/2.23 |
| 16/03/2524/25 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Chelsea | 1.80/3.69/4.46 |
| 10/11/2424/25 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Arsenal | 2.73/3.48/2.55 |
| 23/04/2423/24 | Arsenal | 5–0 | Chelsea | 1.46/4.94/6.75 |
| 21/10/2323/24 | Chelsea | 2–2 | Arsenal | 3.18/3.47/2.25 |
| 02/05/2322/23 | Arsenal | 3–1 | Chelsea | 1.59/4.11/5.75 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Chelsea | 0–1 | Arsenal | 2.62/3.38/2.70 |
| 20/04/2221/22 | Chelsea | 2–4 | Arsenal | 1.85/3.62/4.38 |
| 22/08/2121/22 | Arsenal | 0–2 | Chelsea | 4.80/3.73/1.75 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Chelsea
Away Record: Arsenal
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Chelsea and Arsenal drew 2:2. The match was played in Premier League 2023. Goals were scored by C. Palmer 15′ (pen.), M. Mudryk 48′, D. Rice 77′, L. Trossard 84′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Chelsea had 43% possession while Arsenal held 57%. Chelsea had 11 shots (5 on target) compared to 13 (3 on target) for Arsenal. Expected goals: Chelsea 1.35 — Arsenal 0.99. Chelsea made 3 substitutions, Arsenal made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Mykhaylo Mudryk 14′).
Match Events
Key match events between Chelsea and Arsenal — 4 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: C. Gallagher
assist: B. Saka
Match Statistics
Chelsea had 43% possession against Arsenal's 57%. Chelsea registered 11 shots (5 on target) while Arsenal managed 13 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 2–7. Fouls committed: 7–14.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Arsenal show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea vs Arsenal Head to Head Results
Chelsea and Arsenal have met 43 times — Chelsea won 14, Arsenal won 19, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Arsenal leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 43 meetings. A combined 119 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.77 per match (56 for the home side, 63 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 22 matches (51%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 23 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Arsenal are currently unbeaten in the last 11 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–5 in 2011.
14
Chelsea
10
Drawn
19
Arsenal
Recent Meetings (43)
API data: 15 Mar 2026