Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.7
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 4.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.08 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Max | 2.10 | 3.73 | 3.49 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 46.4% | 25.9% | 27.7% |
| Public market | 45.1% | 26.3% | 28.7% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% |
Aston Villa vs Manchester United — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2625/26 | Manchester United | 3–1 | Aston Villa | 1.73/4.00/4.50 |
| 21/12/2525/26 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Manchester United | 2.09/3.67/3.40 |
| 25/05/2524/25 | Manchester United | 2–0 | Aston Villa | 4.37/4.23/1.72 |
| 06/10/2424/25 | Aston Villa | 0–0 | Manchester United | 2.21/3.77/3.06 |
| 11/02/2423/24 | Aston Villa | 1–2 | Manchester United | 2.14/3.82/3.09 |
| 26/12/2323/24 | Manchester United | 3–2 | Aston Villa | 2.59/3.57/2.57 |
| 30/04/2322/23 | Manchester United | 1–0 | Aston Villa | 1.77/3.89/4.42 |
| 06/11/2222/23 | Aston Villa | 3–1 | Manchester United | 3.36/3.64/2.14 |
| 15/01/2221/22 | Aston Villa | 2–2 | Manchester United | 2.89/3.47/2.41 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Manchester United | 0–1 | Aston Villa | 1.38/5.04/8.04 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Aston Villa
Away Record: Manchester United
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Aston Villa defeated Manchester United 2:1. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by M. Rogers 45′, M. Cunha 45′, M. Rogers 57′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Aston Villa had 43% possession while Manchester United held 57%. Aston Villa had 12 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (6 on target) for Manchester United. Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.54 — Manchester United 1.33. Aston Villa made 5 substitutions, Manchester United made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Aston Villa and Manchester United — 3 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. McGinn
assist: P. Dorgu
assist: O. Watkins
Match Statistics
Aston Villa had 43% possession against Manchester United's 57%. Aston Villa registered 12 shots (4 on target) while Manchester United managed 15 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 5–5. Fouls committed: 4–2.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Manchester United show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa vs Manchester United Head to Head Results
Aston Villa and Manchester United have met 1 times — Aston Villa won 0, Manchester United won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2026. Manchester United leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2026.
0
Aston Villa
0
Drawn
1
Manchester United
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 15 Mar 2026