7 January 2026 at 20:15

Stadium: Turf Moor, Burnley

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Manchester United dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley1wins
3draws10 meetings
Manchester United6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (20%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester United.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 20.7%Draw 24.5%Away 59.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.754.001.69
Max4.924.151.70
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite:Manchester United · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market19.6%23.3%57.1%
Public market20.1%23.8%56.1%
Δ0.5%0.6%1.0%

Burnley vs Manchester United — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Manchester United (59%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:10Manchester United
7Shots30
1Shots on target10

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
07/01/26Burnley2–2Manchester United4.83/4.08/1.69
30/08/25Manchester United3–2Burnley1.35/5.32/8.22
27/04/24Manchester United1–1Burnley1.51/4.85/5.45
23/09/23Burnley0–1Manchester United4.23/4.07/1.71
08/02/22Burnley1–1Manchester United5.80/4.01/1.61
30/12/21Manchester United3–1Burnley1.37/4.91/8.72
18/04/21Manchester United3–1Burnley1.35/5.05/9.34
12/01/21Burnley0–1Manchester United7.11/4.50/1.47
22/01/20Manchester United0–2Burnley1.39/4.66/8.71
28/12/19Burnley0–2Manchester United4.33/3.72/1.83

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 189
Over 2.548
Goals scored374

Away Record: Manchester United

W 746D 276L 234
Over 2.553
Goals scored2334

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Burnley and Manchester United drew 2:2. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by A. Heaven 13′ (o.g.), B. Sesko 50′, B. Sesko 60′, J. Anthony 66′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Burnley had 35% possession while Manchester United held 65%. Burnley had 7 shots (1 on target) compared to 30 (10 on target) for Manchester United. Expected goals: Burnley 0.24 — Manchester United 2.55. Burnley made 3 substitutions, Manchester United made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Burnley and Manchester United — 4 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Burnley
Manchester United
Kick Off
A. Heaven

Own Goal

13′
Half Time
50′
B. Sesko

assist: B. Fernandes

H. MejbriJ. Anthony
58′
60′
B. Sesko

assist: P. Dorgu

61′
B. FernandesM. Mount
61′
A. HeavenL. Yoro
J. Anthony

assist: M. Edwards

66′
74′
M. CunhaJ. Zirkzee
74′
CasemiroK. Mainoo
A. BrojaL. Foster
76′
84′
M. UgarteS. Lacey
M. EdwardsO. Sonne
90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Burnley had 35% possession against Manchester United's 65%. Burnley registered 7 shots (1 on target) while Manchester United managed 30 (10 on target). Corner kicks: 2–6. Fouls committed: 9–8.

1Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal13
7Total Shots30
5Blocked Shots7
6Shots insidebox21
1Shots outsidebox9
9Fouls8
2Corner Kicks6
3Offsides0
35%Ball Possession65%
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves0
315Total passes593
240Passes accurate519
76%Passes %88%
0.24expected_goals2.55
-1goals_prevented-1

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Burnley have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats. Manchester United show 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Burnley

LLLLDL

Manchester United

WWLDWL

Burnley vs Manchester United Head to Head Results

Burnley and Manchester United have met 1 times — Burnley won 0, Manchester United won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Manchester United leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.00 per match (2 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2025.

0

Burnley

0

Drawn

1

Manchester United

Goals: 2Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (1)

30 Aug 2025Manchester United3 – 2Burnley
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026