28 February 2026 at 15:00

34
Full Time
Stadium: Turf Moor, Burnley

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Brentford dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley2wins
0draws6 meetings
Brentford4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.8

Average goals per game

83%

Games with 3+ goals

67%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (21%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 22.2%Draw 25.6%Away 57.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min4.503.901.73
Max4.503.901.73
Over 2.5: 54.1%Under 2.5: 50.0%
Market favourite:Brentford · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Brentford
Result vs. Market: Brentford (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:13Brentford
12Shots16
3Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
28/02/26Burnley3–4Brentford4.50/3.90/1.73
29/11/25Brentford3–1Burnley1.46/4.61/6.97
16/03/24Burnley2–1Brentford3.23/3.67/2.15
21/10/23Brentford3–0Burnley1.82/3.77/4.32
12/03/22Brentford2–0Burnley2.18/3.20/3.63
30/10/21Burnley3–1Brentford2.64/3.27/2.78

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 189
Over 2.548
Goals scored374

Away Record: Brentford

W 67D 46L 71
Over 2.556
Goals scored276

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Brentford defeated Burnley 4:3. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by M. Damsgaard 9′, I. Thiago 25′, K. Schade 34′, M. Kayode 45′ (o.g.), J. Anthony 47′, Z. Flemming 60′, M. Damsgaard 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Burnley had 41% possession while Brentford held 59%. Burnley had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 16 (7 on target) for Brentford. Expected goals: Burnley 0.97 — Brentford 2.25. Burnley made 5 substitutions, Brentford made 3. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Zian Flemming 81′), Goal cancelled (Ashley Barnes 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Burnley and Brentford — 7 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Burnley
Brentford
Kick Off
9′
M. Damsgaard

assist: D. Ouattara

25′
I. Thiago

assist: M. Damsgaard

M. Kayode

Own Goal

45′
Half Time
J. LaurentL. Ugochukwu
46′
J. Bruun LarsenL. Foster
46′
J. Anthony

assist: H. Mejbri

47′
Z. Flemming

assist: H. Mejbri

60′
72′
K. SchadeK. Lewis-Potter
72′
D. OuattaraR. Donovan
73′
Y. YarmolyukJ. Henderson
J. Ward-ProwseFlorentino
75′
Goal cancelled81′
VAR
H. MejbriL. Tchaouna
84′
Lyle Foster90+11′
Goal cancelled90+13′
VAR
Z. FlemmingA. Barnes
90+1′
90′
M. Damsgaard

assist: R. Henry

Full Time

Match Statistics

Burnley had 41% possession against Brentford's 59%. Burnley registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Brentford managed 16 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 4–8. Fouls committed: 9–9.

3Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal4
12Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox13
3Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls9
4Corner Kicks8
2Offsides0
41%Ball Possession59%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
326Total passes463
256Passes accurate376
79%Passes %81%
0.97expected_goals2.25
-1goals_prevented-1

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Burnley have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats. Brentford show 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Burnley

LLLLDL

Brentford

LDDDDD

Burnley vs Brentford Head to Head Results

Burnley and Brentford have met 1 times — Burnley won 0, Brentford won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Brentford leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 4.00 per match (1 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2025.

0

Burnley

0

Drawn

1

Brentford

Goals: 1Goals: 3

Recent Meetings (1)

29 Nov 2025Brentford3 – 1Burnley
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026