15 March 2026 at 14:00

Stadium: Old Trafford, Manchester

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Manchester United5wins
2draws10 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Manchester United.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.8%Draw 25.0%Away 22.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.734.004.50
Max1.734.004.50
Over 2.5: 59.9%Under 2.5: 45.5%
Market favourite:Manchester United · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Manchester United
Result vs. Market: Manchester United (58%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Manchester UnitedHalf-time:00Aston Villa
16Shots9
6Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/03/26Manchester United3–1Aston Villa1.73/4.00/4.50
21/12/25Aston Villa2–1Manchester United2.09/3.67/3.40
25/05/25Manchester United2–0Aston Villa4.37/4.23/1.72
06/10/24Aston Villa0–0Manchester United2.21/3.77/3.06
11/02/24Aston Villa1–2Manchester United2.14/3.82/3.09
26/12/23Manchester United3–2Aston Villa2.59/3.57/2.57
30/04/23Manchester United1–0Aston Villa1.77/3.89/4.42
06/11/22Aston Villa3–1Manchester United3.36/3.64/2.14
15/01/22Aston Villa2–2Manchester United2.89/3.47/2.41
25/09/21Manchester United0–1Aston Villa1.38/5.04/8.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Manchester United

W 746D 276L 234
Over 2.553
Goals scored2334

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 406D 316L 420
Over 2.549
Goals scored1436

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Manchester United defeated Aston Villa 3:1. The match was played in Premier League 2025. Goals were scored by Casemiro 53′, R. Barkley 64′, M. Cunha 71′, B. Sesko 81′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Manchester United had 53% possession while Aston Villa held 47%. Manchester United had 14 shots (6 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Aston Villa. Expected goals: Manchester United 0.84 — Aston Villa 0.96. Manchester United made 2 substitutions, Aston Villa made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Manchester United and Aston Villa — 4 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Manchester United
Aston Villa
Kick Off
Half Time
Casemiro

assist: B. Fernandes

53′
60′
O. WatkinsT. Abraham
61′
J. McGinnL. Bailey
M. Cunha

assist: B. Fernandes

71′
L. Yoro72′
B. MbeumoB. Sesko
75′
82′
R. BarkleyDouglas Luiz
82′
L. DigneI. Maatsen
86′
E. BuendiaA. Garcia
CasemiroM. Ugarte
90+1′
H. Maguire90+6′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Manchester United had 53% possession against Aston Villa's 47%. Manchester United registered 14 shots (6 on target) while Aston Villa managed 8 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 6–4. Fouls committed: 8–5.

6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
14Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox2
8Fouls5
6Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
53%Ball Possession47%
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
394Total passes357
334Passes accurate301
85%Passes %84%
0.84expected_goals0.96
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Manchester United have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Manchester United

WWLDWL

Aston Villa

LWWDWW

Manchester United vs Aston Villa Head to Head Results

Manchester United and Aston Villa have met 1 times — Manchester United won 0, Aston Villa won 1, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Aston Villa leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (1 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2025.

0

Manchester United

0

Drawn

1

Aston Villa

Goals: 1Goals: 2

Recent Meetings (1)

21 Dec 2025Aston Villa2 – 1Manchester United
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026