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Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Turf Moor, Burnley26 December 2016 at 15:00
Referee: Craig Pawson

Match Events

Burnley
Middlesbrough
Kick Off
2′Marten de Roon
George Boyd21′
31′Gastón Ramírez
Ben Mee42′
45′Antonio Barragán
Half Time
Jon Flanagan53′
Stephen Ward65′
A. BarnesS. Vokes
66′
Andre Gray73′
D. MarneyS. Defour
75′
S. ArfieldJ. Guðmunds­son
77′
80′Fábio
A. Gray

assist: S. Vokes

80′
Jeff Hendrick85′
86′
C. StuaniAdama Traoré
87′
M. de RoonG. Friend
90′Álvaro Negredo
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal4
6Total Shots8
0Blocked Shots2
2Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls18
7Corner Kicks3
3Offsides4
45%Ball Possession55%
6Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
321Total passes396
190Passes accurate275
59%Passes %69%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Burnley is 6.35, compared to — for Middlesbrough. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Burnley's highest-rated starter is A. Barnes (6.35), while Middlesbrough's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Burnley deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Middlesbrough's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Burnley field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Middlesbrough's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Burnley start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.35, compared to 3 for Middlesbrough averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Discipline

Burnley's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Middlesbrough. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Burnley's starting XI is 36.0 (youngest: A. Barnes (36), oldest: A. Barnes (36)), while Middlesbrough average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Burnley's starters average 6 league appearances each, versus 0 for Middlesbrough. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Burnley4-4-24-3-3Middlesbrough
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Heaton23Ward6Mee4Flanagan5Keane8Marney37Arfield21Boyd13Hendrick10Barnes7Gray26Valdés17Barragán2Fábio6Gibson25Chambers8Clayton21Ramírez34Forshaw14Roon10Negredo18Stuani

Substitutes

Coach: S. Dyche

Substitutes

Coach: Karanka

BurnleyPosition StrengthMiddlesbrough
6.35
Avg Rating
6.35Forward (2 v 3)
0G 0A0G 0A
Burnley4-4-2
1GoalkeeperT. Heaton
23DefenderS. Ward
6DefenderB. Mee
4DefenderJ. Flanagan
5DefenderM. Keane
8MidfielderD. Marney
37MidfielderS. Arfield
21MidfielderG. Boyd
13MidfielderJ. Hendrick
10ForwardA. Barnes6.3
7ForwardA. Gray
Middlesbrough4-3-3
26GoalkeeperVíctor Valdés
17DefenderBarragán
2DefenderFábio
6DefenderB. Gibson
25DefenderC. Chambers
8MidfielderA. Clayton
34MidfielderA. Forshaw
14MidfielderM. de Roon
21ForwardG. Ramírez
10ForwardÁlvaro Negredo
18ForwardC. Stuani

Match Summary

Burnley defeated Middlesbrough 1:0. The match was played in Premier League 2016. Goals were scored by A. Gray 80′. 11 yellow cards were shown. Burnley had 45% possession while Middlesbrough held 55%. Burnley had 6 shots (4 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Middlesbrough. Burnley made 3 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 2.

Rivalry since 2011

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results

14 stretnutí
Burnley
4
wins
Drawn
5
Middlesbrough
5
wins
Total goals
26 · 1.9/match
Both scored
6/14 · 43%
Over 2.5
4/14 · 29%

Recent Form

Burnley

DLLLLL

Middlesbrough

DWWDLD

Match Prediction

Burnley

10%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Middlesbrough

45%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

30%Form70%
45%Attack55%
40%Defence60%
29%Head-to-head71%

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Burnley1wins
1draws2 meetings
Middlesbrough0wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

0.5

Average goals per game

0%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (32%) — the odds may underestimate Burnley.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.5%Draw 32.0%Away 38.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.903.102.60
Max3.063.182.64
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.0%30.8%37.1%
Public market32.8%30.7%36.6%

Burnley vs Middlesbrough — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Burnley
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BurnleyHalf-time:00Middlesbrough
6Shots8
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
26/12/16Burnley1–0Middlesbrough2.99/3.13/2.62
08/04/17Middlesbrough0–0Burnley2.42/3.08/3.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Burnley

W 92D 93L 192
Over 2.548
Goals scored376

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 154D 158L 220
Over 2.544
Goals scored594

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026