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St Mirren vs Aberdeen

The SMISA Stadium, Paisley3 May 2025 at 15:00
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ST Mirren

10
Away

Aberdeen

Referee: R. Hardie

Match Events

ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Kick Off
13′Nicky Devlin
Jonah Ayunga17′
23′Graeme Shinnie
VAR
27′Goal cancelled
Killian Phillips41′
Half Time
J. AyungaR. Idowu
46′
Mikael Mandron47′
55′
J. OkkelsD. Polvara
55′
L. ClarksonJ. McGrath
M. Mandron

assist: M. O'Hara

60′
66′
T. KeskinenOday Dabbagh
O. SmythC. Boyd-Munce
67′
M. OHaraJ. Scott
79′
83′
A. DorringtonP. Guèye
83′
A. PalaversaF. Boyd
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal0
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots7
2Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls11
5Corner Kicks11
2Offsides1
38%Ball Possession62%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
278Total passes435
195Passes accurate363
70%Passes %83%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

ST Mirren defeated Aberdeen 1:0. The match was played in Premiership 2024. Goals were scored by M. Mandron 60′. 5 yellow cards were shown. ST Mirren had 38% possession while Aberdeen held 62%. ST Mirren had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 7 (0 on target) for Aberdeen. ST Mirren made 3 substitutions, Aberdeen made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Jeppe Okkels 27′).

Rivalry since 2025

ST Mirren vs Aberdeen Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
ST Mirren
1
wins
Drawn
1
Aberdeen
1
wins
Total goals
9 · 3.0/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Form

ST Mirren

LLLLWW

Aberdeen

DWWLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

ST Mirren dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

ST Mirren6wins
2draws10 meetings
Aberdeen2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (67%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate ST Mirren.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.2%Draw 30.3%Away 37.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.603.302.63
Max2.633.302.73
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.2%28.9%34.9%
Public market36.0%28.4%35.6%

ST Mirren vs Aberdeen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

ST Mirren
Result vs. Market: ST Mirren (38%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ST MirrenHalf-time:00Aberdeen
10Shots7
4Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
04/04/26St Mirren2–0Aberdeen2.15/3.25/3.30
03/12/25Aberdeen3–3St Mirren2.15/3.30/3.25
18/10/25St Mirren0–1Aberdeen2.38/3.27/2.91
03/05/25St Mirren1–0Aberdeen2.62/3.30/2.68
25/01/25Aberdeen0–3St Mirren2.02/3.42/3.72
23/11/24St Mirren2–1Aberdeen3.12/3.34/2.31
11/08/24Aberdeen3–1St Mirren1.96/3.44/3.97
02/03/24St Mirren2–1Aberdeen2.29/3.41/3.14
30/12/23Aberdeen0–3St Mirren1.94/3.46/3.99
27/08/23St Mirren2–2Aberdeen2.32/3.18/3.12

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: ST Mirren

W 169D 180L 322
Over 2.545
Goals scored643

Away Record: Aberdeen

W 455D 284L 452
Over 2.548
Goals scored1491

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026