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Kilmarnock vs Dundee

The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock10 May 2025 at 15:00
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Kilmarnock

32
Away

Dundee

Referee: D. Robertson

Match Events

Kilmarnock
Dundee
Kick Off
30′Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
D. Armstrong

Penalty

31′
Half Time
Liam Donnelly47′
56′Ziyad Larkeche
57′
S. TiffoneyO. Adewumi
B. WalesK. Vassell
65′
VAR
67′Penalty cancelled
74′
S. Palmer-HouldenF. Robertson
76′
L. Cameron

assist: O. Adewumi

B. Anderson

assist: L. Donnelly

77′
L. DonnellyR. McKenzie
81′
D. WatsonL. Polworth
86′
B. AndersonM. Watkins
86′
R. Deas

assist: D. Armstrong

90+1′
90+5′
L. Cameron

assist: R. Astley

Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots13
1Blocked Shots5
16Shots insidebox7
0Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls7
7Corner Kicks2
0Offsides0
42%Ball Possession58%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
266Total passes391
144Passes accurate262
54%Passes %67%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Match Summary

Kilmarnock defeated Dundee 3:2. The match was played in Premiership 2024. Goals were scored by D. Armstrong 31′ (pen.), L. Cameron 76′, B. Anderson 77′, R. Deas 90′, L. Cameron 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Kilmarnock had 42% possession while Dundee held 58%. Kilmarnock had 16 shots (7 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Dundee. Kilmarnock made 4 substitutions, Dundee made 2. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Simon Murray 67′).

Rivalry since 2025

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Head to Head Results

4 stretnutí
Kilmarnock
0
wins
Drawn
2
Dundee
2
wins
Total goals
10 · 2.5/match
Both scored
3/4 · 75%
Over 2.5
3/4 · 75%

Recent Form

Kilmarnock

WLDLWW

Dundee

WLDLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Kilmarnock2wins
6draws10 meetings
Dundee2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.6

Average goals per game

80%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Dundee.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.6%Draw 28.5%Away 22.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.833.404.36
Max1.833.614.50
Over 2.5: 52.6%Under 2.5: 51.3%
Market favourite:Kilmarnock · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.9%26.3%21.8%
Public market51.4%27.7%20.9%
Δ0.5%1.4%0.9%

Kilmarnock vs Dundee — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Kilmarnock
Result vs. Market: Kilmarnock (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

KilmarnockHalf-time:10Dundee
16Shots13
7Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/04/26Kilmarnock2–2Dundee2.10/3.50/3.25
30/12/25Dundee2–1Kilmarnock2.70/3.05/2.57
23/08/25Kilmarnock0–0Dundee1.87/3.46/4.25
10/05/25Kilmarnock3–2Dundee1.83/3.50/4.43
30/11/24Kilmarnock1–1Dundee2.09/3.42/3.56
03/11/24Dundee3–2Kilmarnock2.33/3.51/2.93
05/10/24Dundee2–3Kilmarnock2.28/3.46/3.08
02/03/24Dundee2–2Kilmarnock2.62/3.37/2.69
30/12/23Kilmarnock2–2Dundee1.81/3.58/4.51
23/09/23Dundee2–2Kilmarnock2.50/3.20/2.84

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Kilmarnock

W 372D 289L 492
Over 2.549
Goals scored1349

Away Record: Dundee

W 170D 156L 311
Over 2.553
Goals scored714

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026