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Falkirk vs St Mirren

Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk21 March 2026 at 15:00
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Falkirk

12
Away

ST Mirren

Referee: R. Hardie

Match Events

Falkirk
ST Mirren
Kick Off
B. Stewart

assist: D. Tait

15′
18′
M. Freckleton

assist: S. Tanser

Leon McCann21′
Half Time
57′
S. TanserD. John
57′
J. YoungJ. Ayunga
63′
L. Donnelly

assist: M. O'Hara

F. YeatsE. Ross
68′
75′
D. N'LunduluM. Mandron
80′
J. DevaneyJ. Richardson
B. BroggioB. Graham
82′
D. TaitH. Cartwright
82′
B. StewartG. Oliver
88′
89′Killian Phillips
90+1′Alexander Gogić
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox4
13Fouls13
7Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
58%Ball Possession42%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
424Total passes313
347Passes accurate228
82%Passes %73%
1.34expected_goals0.91
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Falkirk is 6.90, compared to 6.79 for ST Mirren. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Falkirk's highest-rated starter is Scott Bain (7.19), while ST Mirren's best-rated player is Miguel Freckleton (7.13).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Falkirk have contributed 25 goals and 19 assists this season, led by Barney Stewart (8G). ST Mirren's starters account for 15 goals and 8 assists, spearheaded by Miguel Freckleton (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Falkirk deploy 4 defenders rated 6.83 on average, against ST Mirren's 3-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Falkirk field 5 midfielders averaging 6.90, versus ST Mirren's 5 rated 6.79. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Falkirk start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.93, compared to 2 for ST Mirren averaging 6.45. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 75% for Falkirk and 74% for ST Mirren. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Falkirk's starters have collected 45 yellow cards this season, compared to 37 for ST Mirren. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Falkirk's starting XI is 25.0 (youngest: Ben Broggio (18), oldest: Scott Bain (34)), while ST Mirren average 26.2 (youngest: Jacob Devaney (18), oldest: Alexander Gogić (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Falkirk's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 20 for ST Mirren. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Falkirk4-2-3-13-1-4-2ST Mirren
GKDEFMIDFWD
19Bain28Lissah6Donalds.15Neilson3McCann8Spencer21Tait11Broggio29Miller14Yeats16Stewart1George13Gogić21Freckle.4Donnelly8Devaney6O'Hara88Phillips16Campbell3Tanser14N'Lundu.20Young

Substitutes

Coach: John McGlynn

Substitutes

Coach: Craig McLeish

FalkirkPosition StrengthST Mirren
6.90
Avg Rating
6.79
7.19Goalkeeper (1 v 1)7.05
0G 0A0G 1A
6.83Defender (4 v 3)6.92
2G 4A7G 2A
6.90Midfielder (5 v 5)6.79
15G 13A4G 5A
6.93Forward (1 v 2)6.45
8G 2A4G 0A
Falkirk4-2-3-1
19GoalkeeperScott Bain7.2
28DefenderFilip Lissah7.02G
6DefenderColl Donaldson6.81A
15DefenderLewis Neilson6.6
3DefenderLeon McCann6.83A
8MidfielderBrad Spencer7.11A
21MidfielderDylan Tait6.83G1A
11MidfielderBen Broggio7.04G2A
29MidfielderCalvin Miller6.96G9A
14MidfielderFinn Yeats6.62G
16ForwardBarney Stewart6.98G2A
ST Mirren3-1-4-2
1GoalkeeperShamal George7.01A
13DefenderAlexander Gogić6.72G1A
21DefenderMiguel Freckleton7.14G1A
4DefenderLiam Donnelly6.91G
8MidfielderJacob Devaney6.8
6MidfielderMark O'Hara6.81A
88MidfielderKillian Phillips6.83G
16MidfielderAllan Campbell6.7
3MidfielderScott Tanser6.91G4A
14ForwardDan N'Lundulu6.53G
20ForwardJake Young6.41G

Match Summary

ST Mirren defeated Falkirk 2:1. The match was played in Premiership 2025. Goals were scored by B. Stewart 15′, M. Freckleton 18′, L. Donnelly 63′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Falkirk had 58% possession while ST Mirren held 42%. Falkirk had 11 shots (2 on target) compared to 11 (4 on target) for ST Mirren. Expected goals: Falkirk 1.34 — ST Mirren 0.91. Falkirk made 4 substitutions, ST Mirren made 4.

Rivalry since 2025

Falkirk vs ST Mirren Head to Head Results

2 stretnutí
Falkirk
1
wins
Drawn
0
ST Mirren
1
wins
Total goals
5 · 2.5/match
Both scored
1/2 · 50%
Over 2.5
1/2 · 50%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 12 v 2025All 2 meetings

Recent Form

Falkirk

WLDLWL

ST Mirren

LLLLWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Falkirk2wins
4draws10 meetings
ST Mirren4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

90%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (17%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate ST Mirren.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.2%Draw 28.6%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.813.504.20
Max1.813.504.20
Over 2.5: 52.4%Under 2.5: 52.4%
Market favourite:Falkirk · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

ST Mirren
Result vs. Market: Falkirk (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FalkirkHalf-time:11ST Mirren
11Shots11
2Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/03/26Falkirk1–2St Mirren1.81/3.50/4.20
10/01/26St Mirren0–2Falkirk2.05/3.30/3.50
13/09/25Falkirk1–2St Mirren2.18/3.41/3.24
20/09/08St Mirren1–1Falkirk2.26/3.24/2.92
17/10/09Falkirk1–3St Mirren2.40/3.20/2.76
14/02/09St Mirren2–2Falkirk2.13/3.23/3.24
12/12/09St Mirren1–1Falkirk2.04/3.24/3.45
10/04/10Falkirk2–1St Mirren2.29/3.22/2.92
06/12/08Falkirk1–2St Mirren1.83/3.35/4.05
01/05/10Falkirk1–1St Mirren2.22/3.29/3.00

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Falkirk

W 82D 73L 140
Over 2.547
Goals scored321

Away Record: ST Mirren

W 169D 180L 322
Over 2.545
Goals scored643

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 22 Mar 2026