7 November 2015 at 20:45

01
Full Time
Referee: Carlos Xistra

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Guimaraes5wins
2draws10 meetings
Nacional3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.3%Draw 30.9%Away 28.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.103.30
Max2.233.353.60
Market favourite:Guimaraes · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.8%29.1%27.1%
Public market44.5%28.8%26.7%

Guimaraes vs Nacional — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Nacional
Result vs. Market: Guimaraes (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GuimaraesHalf-time:01Nacional

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/01/26Guimaraes2–1Nacional1.86/3.45/4.40
03/05/25Nacional1–2Guimaraes4.21/3.56/1.85
23/12/24Guimaraes2–2Nacional1.54/3.96/6.07
26/04/21Nacional1–0Guimaraes3.56/3.31/2.14
21/01/21Guimaraes3–1Nacional1.65/3.85/5.13
05/05/19Guimaraes2–2Nacional1.53/4.24/6.30
02/01/19Nacional1–0Guimaraes3.18/3.33/2.29
04/11/16Guimaraes2–1Nacional1.65/3.81/5.54
31/03/17Nacional1–2Guimaraes3.20/3.21/2.32
07/11/15Guimaraes0–1Nacional2.16/3.23/3.47

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Guimaraes

W 411D 244L 366
Over 2.546
Goals scored1307

Away Record: Nacional

W 198D 149L 262
Over 2.547
Goals scored726

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Nacional defeated Guimaraes 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Tiquinho 36′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Guimaraes had 59% possession while Nacional held 41%. Guimaraes had 19 shots (3 on target) compared to 10 (1 on target) for Nacional. Guimaraes made 3 substitutions, Nacional made 3.

Match Events

Key match events between Guimaraes and Nacional — 1 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Guimaraes
Nacional
Kick Off
Half Time
TozéAlexandre Silva
46′
46′
João CamachoWashington Santana
Luís RochaAlex
53′
57′
Salvador AgraLuís Aurélio
Bruno AlvesOtavinho
70′
74′
Nenê BonilhaWiti
Full Time

Match Statistics

Guimaraes had 59% possession against Nacional's 41%. Guimaraes registered 19 shots (3 on target) while Nacional managed 10 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 6–2. Fouls committed: 0–0.

3Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal5
19Total Shots10
6Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox2
0Fouls0
6Corner Kicks2
0Offsides2
59%Ball Possession41%
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
445Total passes316
357Passes accurate213
80%Passes %67%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Nacional show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Guimaraes

WDWLLL

Nacional

WLWLLD

Guimaraes vs Nacional Head to Head Results

Guimaraes and Nacional have met 20 times — Guimaraes won 9, Nacional won 6, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 20 meetings. A combined 61 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.05 per match (35 for the home side, 26 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 15 matches (75%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Guimaraes are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2016.

9

Guimaraes

5

Drawn

6

Nacional

Goals: 35Goals: 26

Recent Meetings (20)

2 Jan 2026Guimaraes2 – 1Nacional
3 May 2025Nacional1 – 2Guimaraes
23 Dec 2024Guimaraes2 – 2Nacional
26 Apr 2021Nacional1 – 0Guimaraes
21 Jan 2021Guimaraes3 – 1Nacional
5 May 2019Guimaraes2 – 2Nacional
2 Jan 2019Nacional1 – 0Guimaraes
31 Mar 2017Nacional1 – 2Guimaraes
4 Nov 2016Guimaraes2 – 1Nacional
20 Mar 2016Nacional3 – 2Guimaraes
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026