11 January 2016 at 12:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Benfica dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.7
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (16%) — the odds may underestimate Benfica.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.9%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| Max | 6.26 | 4.04 | 1.62 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 15.6% | 24.2% | 60.2% |
| Public market | 18.7% | 23.4% | 57.8% |
| Δ | 3.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% |
Nacional vs Benfica — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Benfica | 2–0 | Nacional | 1.11/8.00/15.00 |
| 29/11/2525/26 | Nacional | 1–2 | Benfica | 7.44/5.14/1.35 |
| 08/03/2524/25 | Benfica | 3–0 | Nacional | 1.21/6.56/12.03 |
| 19/12/2424/25 | Nacional | 0–2 | Benfica | 10.43/6.47/1.23 |
| 11/05/2120/21 | Nacional | 1–3 | Benfica | 11.14/5.58/1.28 |
| 25/01/2120/21 | Benfica | 1–1 | Nacional | 1.18/6.89/15.88 |
| 10/02/1918/19 | Benfica | 10–0 | Nacional | 1.15/7.72/17.66 |
| 02/09/1818/19 | Nacional | 0–4 | Benfica | 8.49/4.82/1.37 |
| 27/08/1616/17 | Nacional | 1–3 | Benfica | 8.27/4.39/1.42 |
| 05/02/1716/17 | Benfica | 3–0 | Nacional | 1.18/7.08/15.62 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nacional
Away Record: Benfica
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Benfica defeated Nacional 4:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Jonas 23′, Tiquinho 50′, Jonas 56′, Jonas 63′, K. Mitroglou 89′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Nacional had 35% possession while Benfica held 65%. Nacional had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 13 (6 on target) for Benfica. Nacional made 3 substitutions, Benfica made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Nacional and Benfica — 5 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Nacional had 35% possession against Benfica's 65%. Nacional registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Benfica managed 13 (6 on target). Corner kicks: 6–10. Fouls committed: 0–0.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Benfica show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional vs Benfica Head to Head Results
Nacional and Benfica have met 21 times — Nacional won 1, Benfica won 18, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Benfica leads the head-to-head with 18 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 80 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.81 per match (16 for the home side, 64 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 games (76%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Benfica are currently unbeaten in the last 20 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 10–0 in 2019.
1
Nacional
2
Drawn
18
Benfica
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026