1 May 2016 at 17:15
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Arouca dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.9
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Arouca.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Max | 1.94 | 3.40 | 4.56 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 50.0% | 28.8% | 21.3% |
| Public market | 50.7% | 27.6% | 21.7% |
| Δ | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Arouca vs Nacional — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2625/26 | Arouca | 3–0 | Nacional | 2.25/3.40/3.00 |
| 20/09/2525/26 | Nacional | 1–2 | Arouca | 2.50/3.14/2.89 |
| 01/02/2524/25 | Nacional | 1–2 | Arouca | 2.53/3.15/2.86 |
| 25/08/2424/25 | Arouca | 1–0 | Nacional | 2.05/3.46/3.49 |
| 21/08/1616/17 | Arouca | 2–0 | Nacional | 2.14/3.10/3.72 |
| 28/01/1716/17 | Nacional | 1–1 | Arouca | 2.30/3.16/3.31 |
| 02/01/1615/16 | Nacional | 2–2 | Arouca | 2.09/3.12/3.87 |
| 01/05/1615/16 | Arouca | 3–0 | Nacional | 1.87/3.34/4.36 |
| 31/08/1414/15 | Nacional | 2–0 | Arouca | 1.83/3.39/4.58 |
| 08/02/1514/15 | Arouca | 3–3 | Nacional | 2.81/3.11/2.61 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Arouca
Away Record: Nacional
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Arouca defeated Nacional 3:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2015. Goals were scored by Walter González 14′, Mateus 38′ (pen.), Walter González 63′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Arouca had 57% possession while Nacional held 43%. Arouca had 14 shots (5 on target) compared to 14 (3 on target) for Nacional. Arouca made 3 substitutions, Nacional made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between Arouca and Nacional — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Match Statistics
Arouca had 57% possession against Nacional's 43%. Arouca registered 14 shots (5 on target) while Nacional managed 14 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 8–5. Fouls committed: 4–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Arouca have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Nacional show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Arouca
Nacional
Arouca vs Nacional Head to Head Results
Arouca and Nacional have met 13 times — Arouca won 6, Nacional won 2, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Arouca leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.62 per match (20 for the home side, 14 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (54%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (46%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Arouca are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2015.
6
Arouca
5
Drawn
2
Nacional
Recent Meetings (13)
API data: 15 Mar 2026