25 January 2021 at 17:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Benfica dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.7
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.16 | 6.50 | 15.00 |
| Max | 1.19 | 7.18 | 17.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 80.5% | 13.3% | 6.1% |
| Public market | 80.4% | 13.3% | 6.2% |
Benfica vs Nacional — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2625/26 | Benfica | 2–0 | Nacional | 1.11/8.00/15.00 |
| 29/11/2525/26 | Nacional | 1–2 | Benfica | 7.44/5.14/1.35 |
| 08/03/2524/25 | Benfica | 3–0 | Nacional | 1.21/6.56/12.03 |
| 19/12/2424/25 | Nacional | 0–2 | Benfica | 10.43/6.47/1.23 |
| 11/05/2120/21 | Nacional | 1–3 | Benfica | 11.14/5.58/1.28 |
| 25/01/2120/21 | Benfica | 1–1 | Nacional | 1.18/6.89/15.88 |
| 10/02/1918/19 | Benfica | 10–0 | Nacional | 1.15/7.72/17.66 |
| 02/09/1818/19 | Nacional | 0–4 | Benfica | 8.49/4.82/1.37 |
| 27/08/1616/17 | Nacional | 1–3 | Benfica | 8.27/4.39/1.42 |
| 05/02/1716/17 | Benfica | 3–0 | Nacional | 1.18/7.08/15.62 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Benfica
Away Record: Nacional
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Benfica and Nacional drew 1:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020. Goals were scored by Chiquinho 14′, B. Róchez 48′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Benfica had 63% possession while Nacional held 37%. Benfica had 11 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (2 on target) for Nacional. Benfica made 3 substitutions, Nacional made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Chiquinho 10′).
Match Events
Key match events between Benfica and Nacional — 2 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Pizzi
assist: K. Gorré
Match Statistics
Benfica had 63% possession against Nacional's 37%. Benfica registered 11 shots (3 on target) while Nacional managed 7 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 21–15.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Benfica have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Nacional show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Benfica
Nacional
Benfica vs Nacional Head to Head Results
Benfica and Nacional have met 21 times — Benfica won 19, Nacional won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Benfica leads the head-to-head with 19 victories from 21 meetings. A combined 83 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.95 per match (67 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (81%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Benfica are currently unbeaten in the last 20 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 10–0 in 2019.
19
Benfica
1
Drawn
1
Nacional
Recent Meetings (21)
API data: 15 Mar 2026