19 March 2021 at 20:30

20
Full Time
Referee: Luis Godinho

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

GIL Vicente dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

GIL Vicente6wins
1draws10 meetings
Nacional3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.4

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate GIL Vicente.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.6%Draw 31.1%Away 25.4%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.203.80
Max2.123.254.03
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite:GIL Vicente · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market45.9%29.9%24.1%
Public market47.1%29.4%23.5%
Δ1.2%0.5%0.6%

GIL Vicente vs Nacional — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

GIL Vicente
Result vs. Market: GIL Vicente (49%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GIL VicenteHalf-time:00Nacional
10Shots9
4Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/01/26Gil Vicente2–1Nacional1.61/3.60/5.50
09/08/25Nacional0–2Gil Vicente2.50/3.15/2.93
19/04/25Nacional0–3Gil Vicente2.34/3.10/3.22
07/12/24Gil Vicente2–1Nacional2.01/3.40/3.68
19/03/21Gil Vicente2–0Nacional2.06/3.22/3.94
08/11/20Nacional2–1Gil Vicente2.62/3.02/2.94
30/11/14Gil Vicente0–0Nacional3.38/3.17/2.23
12/04/15Nacional3–2Gil Vicente1.60/3.66/6.07
12/01/14Nacional2–0Gil Vicente1.78/3.49/4.74
11/05/14Gil Vicente1–0Nacional2.82/3.27/2.49

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: GIL Vicente

W 199D 183L 315
Over 2.544
Goals scored752

Away Record: Nacional

W 198D 149L 262
Over 2.547
Goals scored726

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

GIL Vicente defeated Nacional 2:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020. Goals were scored by Marques 55′, Samuel Lino 71′. 6 yellow cards were shown, 2 red cards. GIL Vicente had 51% possession while Nacional held 49%. GIL Vicente had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 9 (1 on target) for Nacional. GIL Vicente made 4 substitutions, Nacional made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between GIL Vicente and Nacional — 2 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

GIL Vicente
Nacional
Kick Off
36′
João VigárioRúben Freitas
Half Time
Marques

assist: Lourency

55′
60′
Chico RamosB. Riascos
60′
K. GorréJoão Camacho
Ygor Nogueira61′
MarquesSamuel Lino
66′
Samuel Lino

assist: Lucas Mineiro

71′
75′
Nuno BorgesRúben Micael
75′
V. KozielloÉber Bessa
K. FujimotoA. Léautey
76′
LourencyRodrigão
90′
Lucas MineiroPedrinho
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

GIL Vicente had 51% possession against Nacional's 49%. GIL Vicente registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Nacional managed 9 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–3. Fouls committed: 19–15.

4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots4
5Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox5
19Fouls15
3Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
51%Ball Possession49%
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
428Total passes392
322Passes accurate300
75%Passes %77%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, GIL Vicente have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Nacional show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

GIL Vicente

LDWLDD

Nacional

WLWLLD

GIL Vicente vs Nacional Head to Head Results

GIL Vicente and Nacional have met 2 times — GIL Vicente won 2, Nacional won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. GIL Vicente leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (4 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–1 in 2026.

2

GIL Vicente

0

Drawn

0

Nacional

Goals: 4Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (2)

17 Jan 2026GIL Vicente2 – 1Nacional
9 Aug 2025Nacional0 – 2GIL Vicente
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026