30 April 2021 at 14:00

10
Full Time
B

Belenenses

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Pacos Ferreira dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Pacos Ferreira6wins
3draws10 meetings
Belenenses1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Pacos Ferreira.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 44.4%Draw 31.5%Away 29.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.103.10
Max2.313.213.52
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 66.7%
Market favourite:Pacos Ferreira · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market42.1%30.3%27.6%
Public market41.7%28.7%29.6%
Δ0.4%1.6%2.0%

Pacos Ferreira vs Belenenses — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Pacos Ferreira
Result vs. Market: Pacos Ferreira (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Pacos FerreiraHalf-time:00Belenenses
13Shots7
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/02/22Belenenses0–2Pacos Ferreira3.24/2.99/2.44
27/09/21Pacos Ferreira2–2Belenenses1.71/3.50/5.31
30/04/21Pacos Ferreira1–0Belenenses2.25/3.17/3.34
10/01/21Belenenses0–2Pacos Ferreira3.07/3.03/2.52
17/06/20Pacos Ferreira2–1Belenenses2.26/3.18/3.38
04/11/19Belenenses1–0Pacos Ferreira2.53/3.16/2.93
10/12/17Belenenses1–1Pacos Ferreira2.01/3.22/4.01
21/04/18Pacos Ferreira1–1Belenenses2.01/3.28/3.91
16/12/16Pacos Ferreira1–0Belenenses2.47/3.10/3.05
30/04/17Belenenses1–2Pacos Ferreira2.28/3.15/3.35

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Pacos Ferreira

W 207D 189L 286
Over 2.545
Goals scored743

Away Record: Belenenses

W 237D 229L 330
Over 2.541
Goals scored833

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Pacos Ferreira defeated Belenenses 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020. Goals were scored by João Pedro 85′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Pacos Ferreira had 57% possession while Belenenses held 43%. Pacos Ferreira had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (1 on target) for Belenenses. Pacos Ferreira made 5 substitutions, Belenenses made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Henrique 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Pacos Ferreira and Belenenses — 1 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Pacos Ferreira
Belenenses
Kick Off
Half Time
MaracásMarco Baixinho
46′
Pedro RebochoHélder Ferreira
46′
Bruno CostaAdriano Castanheira
60′
L. SinghJoão Amaral
61′
69′
Francisco TeixeiraT. Phete
69′
Rúben LimaNilton Varela
Douglas TanqueJoão Pedro
78′
81′
Afonso SousaEdgar Pacheco
82′
Bruno RamiresSilvestre Varela
85′
VAR
90′Goal cancelled
Full Time

Match Statistics

Pacos Ferreira had 57% possession against Belenenses's 43%. Pacos Ferreira registered 13 shots (6 on target) while Belenenses managed 7 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 16–20.

6Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots7
4Blocked Shots1
5Shots insidebox3
8Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls20
3Corner Kicks5
1Offsides5
57%Ball Possession43%
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
458Total passes334
391Passes accurate257
85%Passes %77%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Pacos Ferreira have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Belenenses show 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 0 outings.

Pacos Ferreira

WDDLLW

Belenenses

Pacos Ferreira vs Belenenses Head to Head Results

Pacos Ferreira and Belenenses have met 15 times — Pacos Ferreira won 9, Belenenses won 1, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Pacos Ferreira leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 32 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (22 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (47%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (27%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Pacos Ferreira are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2021.

9

Pacos Ferreira

5

Drawn

1

Belenenses

Goals: 22Goals: 10

Recent Meetings (15)

25 Feb 2022Belenenses0 – 2Pacos Ferreira
27 Sept 2021Pacos Ferreira2 – 2Belenenses
10 Jan 2021Belenenses0 – 2Pacos Ferreira
17 Jun 2020Pacos Ferreira2 – 1Belenenses
4 Nov 2019Belenenses1 – 0Pacos Ferreira
21 Apr 2018Pacos Ferreira1 – 1Belenenses
10 Dec 2017Belenenses1 – 1Pacos Ferreira
30 Apr 2017Belenenses1 – 2Pacos Ferreira
16 Dec 2016Pacos Ferreira1 – 0Belenenses
30 Apr 2016Belenenses0 – 2Pacos Ferreira
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026