25 September 2021 at 19:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.9
Average goals per game
63%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Tondela.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| Max | 3.40 | 3.37 | 2.31 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 29.1% | 28.8% | 42.1% |
| Public market | 27.5% | 30.1% | 42.4% |
| Δ | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Tondela vs Famalicao — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2625/26 | Famalicao | 3–0 | Tondela | 1.56/3.80/5.75 |
| 16/08/2525/26 | Tondela | 0–1 | Famalicao | 2.92/3.21/2.48 |
| 26/02/2221/22 | Famalicao | 2–1 | Tondela | 1.70/3.64/5.22 |
| 25/09/2121/22 | Tondela | 3–2 | Famalicao | 3.31/3.22/2.25 |
| 26/04/2120/21 | Famalicao | 2–2 | Tondela | 1.96/3.30/4.05 |
| 03/01/2120/21 | Tondela | 1–0 | Famalicao | 2.91/3.09/2.60 |
| 05/07/2019/20 | Tondela | 0–1 | Famalicao | 3.45/3.27/2.19 |
| 07/12/1919/20 | Famalicao | 2–3 | Tondela | 1.96/3.61/3.78 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Tondela
Away Record: Famalicao
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Tondela defeated Famalicao 3:2. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2021. Goals were scored by J. Murillo 33′, Iván Jaime 40′, Adrián Marín 50′, J. Boselli 78′, R. Dadaşov 84′. 11 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Tondela had 58% possession while Famalicao held 42%. Tondela had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 14 (7 on target) for Famalicao. Tondela made 5 substitutions, Famalicao made 4. VAR was involved: Card upgrade (Alexandre Penetra 45′).
Match Events
Key match events between Tondela and Famalicao — 5 goals and 12 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Neto Borges
assist: Ivo Rodrigues
assist: Pêpê Rodrigues
assist: Neto Borges
Match Statistics
Tondela had 58% possession against Famalicao's 42%. Tondela registered 11 shots (4 on target) while Famalicao managed 14 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 20–11.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Tondela have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Famalicao show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Tondela
Famalicao
Tondela vs Famalicao Head to Head Results
Tondela and Famalicao have met 2 times — Tondela won 0, Famalicao won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Famalicao leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 4 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.00 per match (0 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–0 in 2026.
0
Tondela
0
Drawn
2
Famalicao
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026