15 April 2022 at 19:30

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Guimaraes dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Guimaraes7wins
2draws10 meetings
Pacos Ferreira1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Guimaraes.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.5%Draw 27.6%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.504.33
Max1.813.774.71
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Guimaraes · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.6%25.8%20.6%
Public market52.9%25.7%21.4%

Guimaraes vs Pacos Ferreira — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Guimaraes
Result vs. Market: Guimaraes (56%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

GuimaraesHalf-time:20Pacos Ferreira
18Shots7
8Shots on target0

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/04/23Guimaraes0–0Pacos Ferreira1.96/3.36/3.97
08/10/22Pacos Ferreira0–1Guimaraes3.18/3.18/2.34
15/04/22Guimaraes4–0Pacos Ferreira1.77/3.62/4.55
04/12/21Pacos Ferreira1–2Guimaraes3.07/3.09/2.47
21/02/21Pacos Ferreira2–1Guimaraes2.53/3.00/3.12
02/10/20Guimaraes1–0Pacos Ferreira1.74/3.51/5.22
08/03/20Pacos Ferreira1–2Guimaraes5.32/3.73/1.67
29/09/19Guimaraes1–0Pacos Ferreira1.53/4.13/6.45
26/08/17Pacos Ferreira0–0Guimaraes2.58/3.13/2.87
04/02/18Guimaraes3–2Pacos Ferreira1.70/3.64/5.09

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Guimaraes

W 411D 244L 366
Over 2.546
Goals scored1307

Away Record: Pacos Ferreira

W 207D 189L 286
Over 2.545
Goals scored743

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Guimaraes defeated Pacos Ferreira 4:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2021. Goals were scored by Tiago Silva 6′ (pen.), Bruno Duarte 45′, Bruno Duarte 67′, Rúben Lameiras 86′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Guimaraes had 37% possession while Pacos Ferreira held 63%. Guimaraes had 18 shots (8 on target) compared to 7 (0 on target) for Pacos Ferreira. Guimaraes made 5 substitutions, Pacos Ferreira made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty awarded (Nelson Luz 84′).

Match Events

Key match events between Guimaraes and Pacos Ferreira — 4 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Guimaraes
Pacos Ferreira
Kick Off
6′
33′Vitorino Antunes
Bruno Duarte

assist: Rafa Soares

45′
Half Time
46′
AntunesLucas Silva
63′
Rui PiresMatchoi Djaló
63′
Adrián ButzkeDenílson
Bruno DuarteHerculano Nabian
73′
RochinhaNélson Luz
73′
74′
Hélder FerreiraM. Diaby
Rafa SoaresSílvio
78′
André AlmeidaN. Janvier
78′
Penalty awarded84′
VAR
Rúben Lameiras

Penalty

86′
Rúben LameirasGeny
87′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Guimaraes had 37% possession against Pacos Ferreira's 63%. Guimaraes registered 18 shots (8 on target) while Pacos Ferreira managed 7 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 2–4. Fouls committed: 14–15.

8Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal7
18Total Shots7
4Blocked Shots0
10Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls15
2Corner Kicks4
5Offsides1
37%Ball Possession63%
0Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
302Total passes524
257Passes accurate465
85%Passes %89%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Guimaraes have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Pacos Ferreira show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Guimaraes

WDWLLL

Pacos Ferreira

WDDLLW

Guimaraes vs Pacos Ferreira Head to Head Results

Guimaraes and Pacos Ferreira have met 24 times — Guimaraes won 12, Pacos Ferreira won 6, with 6 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Guimaraes leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 24 meetings. A combined 68 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.83 per match (40 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 16 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 games (58%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Guimaraes are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 5–3 in 2016.

12

Guimaraes

6

Drawn

6

Pacos Ferreira

Goals: 40Goals: 28

Recent Meetings (24)

19 Oct 2024Pacos Ferreira1 – 3Guimaraes
1 Apr 2023Guimaraes0 – 0Pacos Ferreira
8 Oct 2022Pacos Ferreira0 – 1Guimaraes
4 Dec 2021Pacos Ferreira1 – 2Guimaraes
21 Feb 2021Pacos Ferreira2 – 1Guimaraes
2 Oct 2020Guimaraes1 – 0Pacos Ferreira
8 Mar 2020Pacos Ferreira1 – 2Guimaraes
29 Sept 2019Guimaraes1 – 0Pacos Ferreira
4 Feb 2018Guimaraes3 – 2Pacos Ferreira
26 Aug 2017Pacos Ferreira0 – 0Guimaraes
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026