18 May 2024 at 17:00

21
Full Time
Referee: Carlos Macedo

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Moreirense4wins
3draws10 meetings
Estoril3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.6%Draw 30.4%Away 32.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.183.00
Max2.333.403.26
Over 2.5: 50.5%Under 2.5: 53.2%
Market favourite:Moreirense · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.9%29.9%29.2%
Public market41.0%28.6%30.4%
Δ0.1%1.4%1.2%

Moreirense vs Estoril — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Moreirense
Result vs. Market: Moreirense (44%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MoreirenseHalf-time:10Estoril
13Shots9
3Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
07/12/25Estoril3–3Moreirense2.06/3.41/3.55
11/05/25Moreirense2–2Estoril2.40/3.29/2.97
28/12/24Estoril2–2Moreirense3.19/3.01/2.41
18/05/24Moreirense2–1Estoril2.29/3.29/3.12
13/01/24Estoril1–3Moreirense2.39/3.40/2.85
07/05/22Estoril1–0Moreirense2.59/3.30/2.77
28/12/21Moreirense1–0Estoril2.96/3.08/2.57
10/09/17Estoril0–2Moreirense1.97/3.25/4.20
12/02/18Moreirense1–2Estoril2.34/3.14/3.19
17/09/16Estoril2–0Moreirense2.42/3.04/3.18

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Moreirense

W 148D 141L 212
Over 2.544
Goals scored529

Away Record: Estoril

W 126D 96L 173
Over 2.551
Goals scored487

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Moreirense defeated Estoril 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2023. Goals were scored by Vinícius Mingotti 5′, João Carlos 49′, Gonçalo Franco 66′. Moreirense had 43% possession while Estoril held 57%. Moreirense had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Estoril. Expected goals: Moreirense 1.45 — Estoril 1.77. Moreirense made 5 substitutions, Estoril made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Moreirense and Estoril — 3 goals and 0 cards recorded during the match.

Moreirense
Estoril
Kick Off
Vinícius Mingotti

assist: J. Antonisse

5′
Half Time
46′
Wagner PinaJoão Carlos
49′
João Carlos

assist: Pedro Álvaro

Vinícius MingottiK. Kodisang
57′
Gonçalo Franco

assist: Castro

66′
J. AntonisseRodrigo Macedo
67′
CastroAlan
67′
L. OforiRúben Ismael
76′
KewinMika
77′
79′
Fabrício GarciaHeriberto Tavares
79′
A. MarquésH. Sy
86′
Volnei FeltesE. Mangala
Full Time

Match Statistics

Moreirense had 43% possession against Estoril's 57%. Moreirense registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Estoril managed 10 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 2–6. Fouls committed: 8–8.

4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal4
14Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox1
8Fouls8
2Corner Kicks6
2Offsides2
43%Ball Possession57%
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
402Total passes537
334Passes accurate456
83%Passes %85%
1.45expected_goals1.77
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Moreirense have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.

Moreirense

WDLLLD

Estoril

LLLLWD

Moreirense vs Estoril Head to Head Results

Moreirense and Estoril have met 17 times — Moreirense won 4, Estoril won 6, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Estoril leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 44 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.59 per match (20 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (59%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (35%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Moreirense are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

4

Moreirense

7

Drawn

6

Estoril

Goals: 20Goals: 24

Recent Meetings (17)

20 Apr 2026Moreirense1 – 0Estoril
7 Dec 2025Estoril3 – 3Moreirense
11 May 2025Moreirense2 – 2Estoril
28 Dec 2024Estoril2 – 2Moreirense
13 Jan 2024Estoril1 – 3Moreirense
7 May 2022Estoril1 – 0Moreirense
28 Dec 2021Moreirense1 – 0Estoril
12 Feb 2018Moreirense1 – 2Estoril
10 Sept 2017Estoril0 – 2Moreirense
18 Feb 2017Moreirense1 – 1Estoril
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026