10 May 2025 at 14:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Rio Ave.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.95 | 3.49 | 3.75 |
| Max | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 47.4% | 27.3% | 25.4% |
| Public market | 48.1% | 26.8% | 25.0% |
Nacional vs Rio Ave — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2625/26 | Nacional | 4–0 | Rio Ave | 2.15/3.30/3.30 |
| 17/08/2525/26 | Rio Ave | 1–1 | Nacional | 2.29/3.22/3.21 |
| 10/05/2524/25 | Nacional | 3–3 | Rio Ave | 1.98/3.50/3.75 |
| 29/12/2424/25 | Rio Ave | 2–1 | Nacional | 2.18/3.16/3.47 |
| 19/05/2120/21 | Nacional | 1–2 | Rio Ave | 5.34/3.68/1.67 |
| 05/02/2120/21 | Rio Ave | 0–0 | Nacional | 1.86/3.16/4.93 |
| 17/03/1918/19 | Nacional | 0–1 | Rio Ave | 2.70/3.31/2.68 |
| 05/11/1818/19 | Rio Ave | 3–3 | Nacional | 1.68/3.90/4.86 |
| 18/12/1616/17 | Rio Ave | 2–1 | Nacional | 1.86/3.39/4.49 |
| 29/04/1716/17 | Nacional | 0–2 | Rio Ave | 3.11/3.25/2.33 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nacional
Away Record: Rio Ave
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Nacional and Rio Ave drew 3:3. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2024. Goals were scored by E. Tıknaz 3′, T. Bakoulas 28′, E. Tıknaz 43′, André Sousa 46′, Léo Santos 90′, K. Kostoulas 90′ (o.g.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Nacional had 55% possession while Rio Ave held 45%. Nacional had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (7 on target) for Rio Ave. Expected goals: Nacional 1.75 — Rio Ave 1.17. Nacional made 5 substitutions, Rio Ave made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Clayton 83′).
Match Events
Key match events between Nacional and Rio Ave — 6 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: João Tomé
assist: João Aurélio
assist: Rúben Macedo
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Nacional had 55% possession against Rio Ave's 45%. Nacional registered 11 shots (4 on target) while Rio Ave managed 13 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 4–5. Fouls committed: 11–12.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Rio Ave show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional vs Rio Ave Head to Head Results
Nacional and Rio Ave have met 24 times — Nacional won 7, Rio Ave won 9, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Rio Ave leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 24 meetings. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.13 per match (27 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2018.
7
Nacional
8
Drawn
9
Rio Ave
Recent Meetings (24)
API data: 15 Mar 2026