19 May 2021 at 19:00

12
Full Time

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Nacional1wins
4draws10 meetings
Rio Ave5wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 18.7%Draw 27.1%Away 59.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min5.253.601.65
Max5.503.851.70
Over 2.5: 50.0%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Rio Ave · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market18.1%24.8%57.1%
Public market17.1%26.1%56.9%
Δ1.1%1.3%0.2%

Nacional vs Rio Ave — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Rio Ave
Result vs. Market: Rio Ave (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

NacionalHalf-time:10Rio Ave
11Shots30
2Shots on target14

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
25/01/26Nacional4–0Rio Ave2.15/3.30/3.30
17/08/25Rio Ave1–1Nacional2.29/3.22/3.21
10/05/25Nacional3–3Rio Ave1.98/3.50/3.75
29/12/24Rio Ave2–1Nacional2.18/3.16/3.47
19/05/21Nacional1–2Rio Ave5.34/3.68/1.67
05/02/21Rio Ave0–0Nacional1.86/3.16/4.93
17/03/19Nacional0–1Rio Ave2.70/3.31/2.68
05/11/18Rio Ave3–3Nacional1.68/3.90/4.86
18/12/16Rio Ave2–1Nacional1.86/3.39/4.49
29/04/17Nacional0–2Rio Ave3.11/3.25/2.33

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nacional

W 198D 149L 262
Over 2.547
Goals scored726

Away Record: Rio Ave

W 237D 243L 307
Over 2.542
Goals scored845

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Rio Ave defeated Nacional 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2020. Goals were scored by Dudu 11′, S. Aderlan 51′, Carlos Mane 90′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Nacional had 36% possession while Rio Ave held 64%. Nacional had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 36 (14 on target) for Rio Ave. Nacional made 5 substitutions, Rio Ave made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Nacional and Rio Ave — 3 goals and 2 cards recorded during the match.

Nacional
Rio Ave
Kick Off
Dudu

assist: L. Azouni

11′
L. Azouni16′
J. VigarioDudu
25′
Half Time
M. RouaiE. Bessa
46′
P. MendesB. Rochez
46′
K. GorreWiti
56′
62′
F. GeraldesGuga
R. Micael
71′
73′
Junior BrandaoR. Meshino
84′Filipe
87′
SavioPele
87′
GabrielzinhoP. Amaral
90+4′
Carlos Mane

assist: Savio

Full Time

Match Statistics

Nacional had 36% possession against Rio Ave's 64%. Nacional registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Rio Ave managed 36 (14 on target). Corner kicks: 1–16. Fouls committed: 13–6.

2Shots on Goal14
7Shots off Goal10
12Total Shots36
3Blocked Shots12
7Shots insidebox24
5Shots outsidebox12
13Fouls6
1Corner Kicks16
0Offsides0
36%Ball Possession64%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
12Goalkeeper Saves1
278Total passes464
178Passes accurate352
64%Passes %76%

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Rio Ave show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nacional

WLWLLD

Rio Ave

DWLWWW

Nacional vs Rio Ave Head to Head Results

Nacional and Rio Ave have met 24 times — Nacional won 7, Rio Ave won 8, with 9 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Rio Ave leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 24 meetings. A combined 54 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.25 per match (29 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (38%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Nacional are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2025.

7

Nacional

9

Drawn

8

Rio Ave

Goals: 29Goals: 25

Recent Meetings (24)

25 Jan 2026Nacional4 – 0Rio Ave
17 Aug 2025Rio Ave1 – 1Nacional
10 May 2025Nacional3 – 3Rio Ave
29 Dec 2024Rio Ave2 – 1Nacional
31 Jul 2024Rio Ave1 – 1Nacional
10 Apr 2022Nacional2 – 0Rio Ave
28 Nov 2021Rio Ave1 – 0Nacional
5 Feb 2021Rio Ave0 – 0Nacional
17 Mar 2019Nacional0 – 1Rio Ave
5 Nov 2018Rio Ave3 – 3Nacional
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026