15 March 2026 at 15:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 7.3%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Max | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2625/26 | Nacional | 0–1 | Estoril | 2.40/3.50/2.70 |
| 26/10/2525/26 | Estoril | 1–1 | Nacional | 2.20/3.34/3.25 |
| 15/02/2524/25 | Nacional | 2–2 | Estoril | 2.22/3.19/3.24 |
| 15/09/2424/25 | Estoril | 1–0 | Nacional | 2.31/3.32/3.05 |
| 26/11/1616/17 | Nacional | 0–1 | Estoril | 2.30/3.23/3.23 |
| 09/04/1716/17 | Estoril | 0–1 | Nacional | 2.45/3.12/3.05 |
| 06/12/1515/16 | Estoril | 1–1 | Nacional | 2.33/3.11/3.24 |
| 10/04/1615/16 | Nacional | 4–1 | Estoril | 2.19/3.23/3.42 |
| 14/09/1414/15 | Estoril | 2–1 | Nacional | 2.09/3.25/3.66 |
| 16/02/1514/15 | Nacional | 1–0 | Estoril | 2.24/3.21/3.31 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Nacional
Away Record: Estoril
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Estoril defeated Nacional 1:0. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by F. Bacher 9′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Nacional had 55% possession while Estoril held 45%. Nacional had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 11 (2 on target) for Estoril. Expected goals: Nacional 0.75 — Estoril 1.12. Nacional made 5 substitutions, Estoril made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Nacional and Estoril — 1 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Carvalho
Match Statistics
Nacional had 55% possession against Estoril's 45%. Nacional registered 14 shots (4 on target) while Estoril managed 11 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 16–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Nacional have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats. Estoril show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional vs Estoril Head to Head Results
Nacional and Estoril have met 15 times — Nacional won 5, Estoril won 6, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. Estoril leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 39 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.60 per match (18 for the home side, 21 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 9 matches (60%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (53%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Estoril are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2016.
5
Nacional
4
Drawn
6
Estoril
Recent Meetings (15)
API data: 20 Mar 2026