22 March 2026 at 15:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.8
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Rio Ave.
Market Summary
Margin: 8.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.71 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2625/26 | Estoril | 1–2 | Rio Ave | 1.71/3.75/4.33 |
| 01/11/2525/26 | Rio Ave | 0–4 | Estoril | 2.42/3.20/2.98 |
| 22/02/2524/25 | Estoril | 2–1 | Rio Ave | 2.04/3.34/3.58 |
| 21/09/2424/25 | Rio Ave | 2–2 | Estoril | 1.91/3.33/4.21 |
| 31/01/2423/24 | Rio Ave | 1–1 | Estoril | 2.19/3.51/3.16 |
| 20/08/2323/24 | Estoril | 2–0 | Rio Ave | 2.41/3.15/2.96 |
| 13/02/2322/23 | Rio Ave | 2–0 | Estoril | 2.27/3.09/3.39 |
| 19/08/2222/23 | Estoril | 2–2 | Rio Ave | 2.14/3.22/3.68 |
| 04/11/1717/18 | Estoril | 0–2 | Rio Ave | 3.40/3.14/2.24 |
| 30/03/1817/18 | Rio Ave | 2–0 | Estoril | 1.83/3.60/4.31 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Estoril
Away Record: Rio Ave
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Rio Ave defeated Estoril 2:1. The match was played in Primeira Liga 2025. Goals were scored by Ferro 17′, J. Brabec 54′, J. Blesa 74′ (pen.). 5 yellow cards were shown. Estoril had 55% possession while Rio Ave held 45%. Estoril had 13 shots (4 on target) compared to 13 (8 on target) for Rio Ave. Expected goals: Estoril 1.23 — Rio Ave 1.60. Estoril made 5 substitutions, Rio Ave made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Estoril and Rio Ave — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: J. Holsgrove
assist: Diogo Bezerra
Penalty
Match Statistics
Estoril had 55% possession against Rio Ave's 45%. Estoril registered 13 shots (4 on target) while Rio Ave managed 13 (8 on target). Corner kicks: 9–7. Fouls committed: 15–10.
Lineups
Estoril lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under Ian Cathro, while Rio Ave deployed a 4-2-3-1 under Sotiris Sylaidopoulos.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Estoril is 6.85, compared to 6.77 for Rio Ave. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Estoril's highest-rated starter is Jordan Holsgrove (7.24), while Rio Ave's best-rated player is Jalen Blesa (7.39).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Estoril have contributed 36 goals and 28 assists this season, led by Yanis Begraoui (19G). Rio Ave's starters account for 13 goals and 12 assists, spearheaded by Jalen Blesa (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Estoril deploy 4 defenders rated 6.72 on average, against Rio Ave's 4-man backline averaging 6.76. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Estoril field 3 midfielders averaging 6.87, versus Rio Ave's 5 rated 6.64. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Estoril start 3 forward(s) averaging 7.02, compared to 1 for Rio Ave averaging 7.39. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 79% for Estoril and 81% for Rio Ave. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Estoril's starters have collected 48 yellow cards this season, compared to 33 for Rio Ave. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Estoril's starting XI is 26.6 (youngest: Pedro Carvalho (22), oldest: Joel Robles (35)), while Rio Ave average 24.8 (youngest: Gustavo Mancha (21), oldest: Jakub Brabec (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Estoril's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 19 for Rio Ave. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Ian Cathro
Substitutes
Coach: Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Estoril have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Rio Ave show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril vs Rio Ave Head to Head Results
Estoril and Rio Ave have met 20 times — Estoril won 8, Rio Ave won 8, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. A combined 59 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.95 per match (29 for the home side, 30 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (55%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (55%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Estoril are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–5 in 2014.
8
Estoril
4
Drawn
8
Rio Ave
Recent Meetings (20)
API data: 22 Mar 2026