21 May 2022 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
38%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (54%) — the odds may underestimate Burgos.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.72 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| Max | 1.78 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 54.2% | 28.2% | 17.6% |
| Public market | 55.4% | 27.2% | 17.3% |
| Δ | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Malaga vs Burgos — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2625/26 | Malaga | 3–0 | Burgos | 2.01/3.00/4.00 |
| 28/09/2525/26 | Burgos | 2–1 | Malaga | 2.12/3.08/3.82 |
| 31/05/2524/25 | Malaga | 2–2 | Burgos | 2.10/3.25/3.50 |
| 15/12/2424/25 | Burgos | 0–0 | Malaga | 2.00/3.25/3.89 |
| 21/01/2322/23 | Malaga | 1–1 | Burgos | 2.10/2.96/4.29 |
| 14/08/2222/23 | Burgos | 1–0 | Malaga | 2.61/3.02/3.10 |
| 21/05/2221/22 | Malaga | 0–1 | Burgos | 1.76/3.40/5.25 |
| 27/11/2121/22 | Burgos | 3–0 | Malaga | 2.77/2.91/2.82 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Malaga
Away Record: Burgos
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Burgos defeated Malaga 1:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2021. Goals were scored by Miguel Rubio 41′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Malaga had 66% possession while Burgos held 34%. Malaga had 20 shots (5 on target) compared to 8 (1 on target) for Burgos. Malaga made 5 substitutions, Burgos made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Malaga and Burgos — 1 goals and 4 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Saúl Berjón
Match Statistics
Malaga had 66% possession against Burgos's 34%. Malaga registered 20 shots (5 on target) while Burgos managed 8 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–5. Fouls committed: 12–12.
Lineups
Malaga lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under P. Guede, while Burgos deployed a 5-4-1 under Julián Calero.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Malaga is 7.05, compared to 6.84 for Burgos. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Malaga's highest-rated starter is Dani Lorenzo (7.05), while Burgos's best-rated player is Grego Sierra (6.96).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Malaga have contributed 4 goals and 1 assists this season, led by Dani Lorenzo (4G). Burgos's starters account for 2 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by Grego Sierra (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Malaga deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Burgos's 5-man backline averaging 6.84. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Malaga field 4 midfielders averaging 7.05, versus Burgos's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Malaga start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Burgos averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 90% for Malaga and 81% for Burgos. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Malaga's starters have collected 5 yellow cards this season, compared to 10 for Burgos. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Malaga's starting XI is 22.0 (youngest: Dani Lorenzo (22), oldest: Dani Lorenzo (22)), while Burgos average 31.0 (youngest: Aitor Córdoba (30), oldest: Grego Sierra (32)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Malaga's starters average 30 league appearances each, versus 27 for Burgos. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: P. Guede
Substitutes
Coach: Julián Calero
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Malaga have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats. Burgos show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Malaga
Burgos
Malaga vs Burgos Head to Head Results
Malaga and Burgos have met 7 times — Malaga won 1, Burgos won 3, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Burgos leads the head-to-head with 3 victories from 7 meetings. A combined 16 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.29 per match (7 for the home side, 9 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (43%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (57%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–2 in 2025.
1
Malaga
3
Drawn
3
Burgos
Recent Meetings (7)
API data: 17 Apr 2026