10 May 2024 at 18:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.5
Average goals per game
25%
Games with 3+ goals
25%
Both teams scored
Market Summary
Margin: 5.0%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Max | 1.85 | 3.51 | 4.71 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 52.1% | 27.5% | 20.5% |
| Public market | 51.4% | 26.9% | 21.7% |
| Δ | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% |
Burgos vs Eldense — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Burgos
Away Record: Eldense
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Eldense defeated Burgos 2:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2023. Goals were scored by Mario Soberón 5′ (pen.), K. Appin 24′, Juanto 44′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Burgos had 64% possession while Eldense held 36%. Burgos had 20 shots (6 on target) compared to 12 (5 on target) for Eldense. Burgos made 5 substitutions, Eldense made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Burgos and Eldense — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: Álex Sancris
assist: Mario Soberón
Match Statistics
Burgos had 64% possession against Eldense's 36%. Burgos registered 20 shots (6 on target) while Eldense managed 12 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 7–4. Fouls committed: 8–16.
Lineups
Burgos lined up in a 4-4-2 formation under Bolo, while Eldense deployed a 4-1-3-2 under Fernando Estévez.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Burgos is 6.84, compared to — for Eldense. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Burgos's highest-rated starter is Curro Sánchez (6.99), while Eldense's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Burgos have contributed 17 goals and 8 assists this season, led by Fer Niño (7G). Eldense's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Burgos deploy 4 defenders rated 6.79 on average, against Eldense's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Burgos field 4 midfielders averaging 6.70, versus Eldense's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Burgos start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.96, compared to 2 for Eldense averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 77% for Burgos and —% for Eldense. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Burgos's starters have collected 17 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Eldense. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Burgos's starting XI is 27.4 (youngest: Fer Niño (25), oldest: Aitor Córdoba (30)), while Eldense average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Burgos's starters average 24 league appearances each, versus 0 for Eldense. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Bolo
Substitutes
Coach: Fernando Estévez
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Burgos have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Eldense show 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Burgos
Eldense
API data: 17 Apr 2026