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Alcorcon vs Numancia

Santo Domingo, Alcorcon4 February 2017 at 15:00
23
Referee: Saul Ais Reig

Match Events

Alcorcon
Numancia
Kick Off
David Rodríguez
15′
Half Time
49′Julio Alvarez
49′
J. Álvarez

Penalty

Óscar PlanoM. Luque
56′
Víctor PérezM. Bakić
56′
IviÁlvaro Giménez
68′
71′
Jairo MorillaJ. Acuña
Foued Kadir74′
78′
Pablo ValcarceUnai Medina
81′
J. Álvarez
82′Marc Mateu
David Rodríguez

Penalty

84′
Nelson87′
Marko Dmitrović90′
90′Aitor
90′
J. ÁlvarezMarc Pedraza
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots0
9Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox1
13Fouls17
7Corner Kicks2
5Offsides3
55%Ball Possession45%
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
336Total passes283
202Passes accurate164
60%Passes %58%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Alcorcon is —, compared to 6.50 for Numancia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Alcorcon's highest-rated starter is —, while Numancia's best-rated player is Carlos Gutiérrez (6.50).

Defensive Solidity

Alcorcon deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Numancia's 4-man backline averaging 6.50. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Alcorcon field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Numancia's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Alcorcon start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Numancia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Alcorcon and 83% for Numancia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Age & Experience

The average age of Alcorcon's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Numancia average 34.0 (youngest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34), oldest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Alcorcon's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 1 for Numancia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Alcorcon4-2-3-14-2-3-1Numancia
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Dmitrov.3Navarro22Nélson16Bellvís24Owona15Kadir12Pérez21Plano6Toribio17Ivi7Rodrígu.13Fernánd.3Ripa22Orfila16Gutiérr.15Calvo10Álvarez6Pérez21Mateu19Galarre.20Valcarce18Morilla

Substitutes

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Substitutes

Coach: Arrasate

AlcorconPosition StrengthNumancia
Avg Rating
6.50
Defender (4 v 4)6.50
0G 0A0G 0A
Alcorcon4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperM. Dmitrović
3DefenderDavid Navarro
22DefenderNélson
16DefenderBellvís
24DefenderL. Owona
15MidfielderF. Kadir
12MidfielderVíctor Pérez
21MidfielderÓscar Plano
6MidfielderToribio
17MidfielderIvi
7ForwardDavid Rodríguez
Numancia4-2-3-1
13GoalkeeperAitor Fernández
3DefenderRipa
22DefenderOrfila
16DefenderCarlos Gutiérrez6.5
15DefenderDani Calvo
10MidfielderJ. Álvarez
6MidfielderIñigo Pérez
21MidfielderMarc Mateu
19MidfielderRuiz de Galarreta
20MidfielderPablo Valcarce
18ForwardJairo Morilla

Match Summary

Numancia defeated Alcorcon 3:2. The match was played in Segunda División 2016. Goals were scored by David Rodríguez 15′, Dani Calvo 31′, J. Álvarez 49′ (pen.), J. Álvarez 81′, David Rodríguez 84′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Alcorcon had 55% possession while Numancia held 45%. Alcorcon had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 8 (5 on target) for Numancia. Alcorcon made 3 substitutions, Numancia made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Alcorcon vs Numancia Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Alcorcon
1
wins
Drawn
3
Numancia
3
wins
Total goals
13 · 1.9/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
1/7 · 14%

Recent Form

Alcorcon

LWLLWD

Numancia

WDWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Alcorcon1wins
5draws10 meetings
Numancia4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (48%) — the odds may underestimate Numancia.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.7%Draw 33.6%Away 22.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.002.904.00
Max2.043.024.90
Market favourite:Alcorcon · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.8%32.3%19.9%
Public market47.0%31.3%21.7%
Δ0.8%1.0%1.8%

Alcorcon vs Numancia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Numancia
Result vs. Market: Alcorcon (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlcorconHalf-time:11Numancia

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/01/20Alcorcon2–2Numancia2.15/3.00/3.83
18/08/19Numancia0–1Alcorcon1.99/3.14/4.26
11/05/19Numancia2–0Alcorcon1.88/3.09/4.82
23/12/18Alcorcon1–1Numancia1.80/3.15/5.35
03/11/17Numancia1–0Alcorcon2.17/3.01/3.80
07/04/18Alcorcon0–1Numancia2.20/3.00/3.66
04/09/16Numancia1–1Alcorcon2.28/3.14/3.35
04/02/17Alcorcon2–3Numancia2.01/2.97/4.41
26/09/15Alcorcon1–1Numancia2.04/3.20/3.93
27/02/16Numancia1–1Alcorcon2.31/3.11/3.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Alcorcon

W 186D 152L 208
Over 2.536
Goals scored568

Away Record: Numancia

W 283D 254L 261
Over 2.542
Goals scored972

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026