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Alcorcon vs Numancia

Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón15 January 2020 at 18:00
22
Referee: Iosu Galech

Match Events

Alcorcon
Numancia
Kick Off
Richard Boateng5′
Half Time
R. Boateng

assist: Adrián Diéguez

58′
60′
Marc MateuAlberto Noguera
61′
Higinio Marín

assist: Iván Calero

Rui CostaDani Romera
62′
64′Erik Morán
Stoichkov

Penalty

65′
StoichkovUnai Elgezabal
68′
70′Adrian Rafael Castellano Cobacho
79′
OteguiGuillermo Fernández
R. BoatengDorca
82′
85′
Iván CaleroI. Zlatanović
90+4′
Curro Sánchez

assist: Higinio Marín

Full Time

Match Statistics

10Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal6
25Total Shots13
7Blocked Shots3
15Shots insidebox3
10Shots outsidebox10
16Fouls13
4Corner Kicks7
2Offsides1
50%Ball Possession50%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves8
361Total passes348
277Passes accurate249
77%Passes %72%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Alcorcon deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Numancia's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Alcorcon field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Numancia's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Alcorcon start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Numancia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Alcorcon4-1-4-14-2-3-1Numancia
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Jiménez2Laure19Fernánd.3Pomares6Diéguez7Boateng23Stoichk.34Perea18Mula15Costa26Óscar13Barrio23Hernánd.17Calero4Osede3Castell.2Sola21Mateu7Morán22Sánchez12Otegui9Marín

Substitutes

Coach: Fran Fernández

Substitutes

Coach: Luis Carrión

AlcorconPosition StrengthNumancia
Alcorcon4-1-4-1
1GoalkeeperDani Jiménez
2DefenderLaure
19DefenderDavid Fernández
3DefenderCarlos Pomares
6DefenderAdrián Diéguez
7MidfielderR. Boateng
23MidfielderStoichkov
34MidfielderLuis Perea
18MidfielderÁlex Mula
26MidfielderÓscar
15ForwardRui Costa
Numancia4-2-3-1
13GoalkeeperDani Barrio
23DefenderHéctor Hernández
17DefenderIván Calero
4DefenderDerik Osede
3DefenderAdrián Castellano
2MidfielderÁlex Sola
21MidfielderMarc Mateu
7MidfielderErik Morán
22MidfielderCurro Sánchez
12MidfielderOtegui
9ForwardHiginio Marín

Match Summary

Alcorcon and Numancia drew 2:2. The match was played in Segunda División 2019. Goals were scored by R. Boateng 58′, Higinio Marín 61′, Stoichkov 65′ (pen.), Curro Sánchez 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Alcorcon had 50% possession while Numancia held 50%. Alcorcon had 25 shots (10 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for Numancia. Alcorcon made 3 substitutions, Numancia made 3.

Rivalry since 2016

Alcorcon vs Numancia Head to Head Results

7 stretnutí
Alcorcon
1
wins
Drawn
2
Numancia
4
wins
Total goals
14 · 2.0/match
Both scored
3/7 · 43%
Over 2.5
1/7 · 14%

Recent Form

Alcorcon

LWLLWD

Numancia

WDWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Alcorcon1wins
5draws10 meetings
Numancia4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Numancia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 46.4%Draw 33.3%Away 26.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.003.75
Max2.213.013.94
Over 2.5: 38.5%Under 2.5: 68.0%
Market favourite:Alcorcon · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.6%32.0%24.4%
Public market43.7%31.3%25.0%

Alcorcon vs Numancia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Alcorcon (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

AlcorconHalf-time:00Numancia
25Shots13
9Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/01/20Alcorcon2–2Numancia2.15/3.00/3.83
18/08/19Numancia0–1Alcorcon1.99/3.14/4.26
11/05/19Numancia2–0Alcorcon1.88/3.09/4.82
23/12/18Alcorcon1–1Numancia1.80/3.15/5.35
03/11/17Numancia1–0Alcorcon2.17/3.01/3.80
07/04/18Alcorcon0–1Numancia2.20/3.00/3.66
04/09/16Numancia1–1Alcorcon2.28/3.14/3.35
04/02/17Alcorcon2–3Numancia2.01/2.97/4.41
26/09/15Alcorcon1–1Numancia2.04/3.20/3.93
27/02/16Numancia1–1Alcorcon2.31/3.11/3.30

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Alcorcon

W 186D 152L 208
Over 2.536
Goals scored568

Away Record: Numancia

W 283D 254L 261
Over 2.542
Goals scored972

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026