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Ponferradina vs Rayo Vallecano

27 September 2020 at 17:15Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

Match Summary

Ponferradina defeated Rayo Vallecano 3:0. The match was played in Segunda División 2020.

Rivalry since 2019

Ponferradina vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Results· 3

Ponferradina and Rayo Vallecano have met 3 times — Ponferradina won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. Ponferradina leads the head-to-head with 1 victory from 3 meetings. A combined 8 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.67 per match (5 for the home side, 3 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 3 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 game (33%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Ponferradina are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–3 in 2019.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
8 · 2.7/match
Both scored
3/3 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2019

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Rayo Vallecano show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
4 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Ponferradina.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Feb 202120/211.86/3.08/5.29
Match Details
27 Sept 202020/213.21/2.96/2.52
Match Details
18 Jan 202019/202.48/3.11/3.01
Match Details
26 Oct 201919/201.56/3.96/5.83
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 4.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 31.1%Draw 33.8%Away 39.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.202.902.45
Max3.233.022.59
Over 2.5: 41.7%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.2%32.2%37.6%
Public market29.3%32.4%38.3%

Ponferradina vs Rayo Vallecano — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ponferradina
Result vs. Market: Rayo Vallecano (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PonferradinaHalf-time:30Rayo Vallecano
7Shots10
4Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ponferradina

W 129D 132L 159
Over 2.542
Goals scored465

Away Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 189D 149L 162
Over 2.548
Goals scored665

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026