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Huesca vs Burgos

4 October 2025 at 17:30Estadio El Alcoraz, Huesca

Match Summary

Huesca defeated Burgos 2:1. The match was played in Segunda División 2025. Goals were scored by D. Luna 40′, D. Gonzalez Ballesteros 73′ (pen.), S. Ntamack 90′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Huesca had 45% possession while Burgos held 55%. Huesca had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 4 (2 on target) for Burgos. Huesca made 5 substitutions, Burgos made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Huesca and Burgos — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
D. Luna

assist: I. Kortajarena

40′
Half Time
46′
K. AppinF. Nino
Toni AbadA. Carrillo
62′
D. OjedaA. Perez
62′
65′
M. CanteroI. Cordoba
D. LunaL. Beltran
69′
S. EnrichE. Rodriguez
69′
74′
74′
M. GonzalezV. Mollejo
I. KortajarenaS. Ntamack
84′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Huesca had 45% possession against Burgos's 55%. Huesca registered 9 shots (4 on target) while Burgos managed 4 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 1–1. Fouls committed: 14–13.

Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots Off Goal
3
1
Total Shots
9
4
Blocked Shots
2
1
Shots inside the Box
5
4
Shots outside the Box
4
0
Fouls
14
13
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
2
Ball Possession
45%
55%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
2
Total Passes
350
440
Accurate Passes
261
352
Pass Accuracy
75%
80%
Expected Goals (xG)
0
0
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2021

Huesca vs Burgos Head to Head Results· 9

Huesca and Burgos have met 9 times — Huesca won 3, Burgos won 4, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2021. Burgos leads the head-to-head with 4 victories from 9 meetings. A combined 20 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.22 per match (10 for the home side, 10 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Burgos are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2021.

3
wins
Drawn
2
·
4
wins
Total goals
20 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/9 · 56%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Meetings

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Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Huesca have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Burgos show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Huesca

LDLLWL

Burgos

WWDDDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

4
wins
draws
2
10 meetings
4
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Huesca.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Jan 202625/262.05/2.85/4.10
Match Details
4 Oct 202525/262.42/2.97/3.26
Match Details
6 Apr 202524/252.23/2.75/4.02
Match Details
7 Sept 202424/252.31/3.07/3.30
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24 Mar 202423/242.48/2.85/3.26
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13 Aug 202323/242.32/3.02/3.60
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9 Apr 202322/232.44/2.91/3.44
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18 Dec 202222/232.34/2.92/3.52
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18 Mar 202221/221.73/3.72/5.21
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24 Oct 202121/222.59/3.00/2.98
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 41.2%Draw 33.7%Away 30.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.402.943.10
Max2.453.003.42
Over 2.5: 29.4%Under 2.5: 75.2%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market39.7%32.4%27.9%
Public market38.4%31.3%30.3%
Δ1.4%1.1%2.4%

Huesca vs Burgos — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Huesca
Result vs. Market: Huesca (41%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

HuescaHalf-time:10Burgos
9Shots4
4Shots on target2

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Huesca

W 197D 183L 205
Over 2.539
Goals scored653

Away Record: Burgos

W 88D 74L 87
Over 2.534
Goals scored242

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026